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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 0,5x - 0,6x | 0,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | ₫21.184 - ₫21.252 | ₫21.218 |
| Upside | -8,7% - -8,4% | -8,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Vietnam Tanker Joint Stock Company | VTO | HOSE:VTO |
| Superdong Fast Ferry Kien Giang Joint Stock Company | SKG | HOSE:SKG |
| DS3 Joint Stock Company | DS3 | HNX:DS3 |
| MHC Joint Stock Company | MHC | HOSE:MHC |
| Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company | VIP | HOSE:VIP |
| Vietnam Ocean Shipping Agency Corporation | VSA | HNX:VSA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VTO | SKG | DS3 | MHC | VIP | VSA | ||
| HOSE:VTO | HOSE:SKG | HNX:DS3 | HOSE:MHC | HOSE:VIP | HNX:VSA | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.6% | -22.0% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -9.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 31.2% | NM- | 24.1% | NM- | NM- | -30.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.9% | -51.6% | 350.1% | -125.1% | 34.5% | 143.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.4% | 3.5% | -1088.7% | -59.3% | 11.7% | 1.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 14.6% | -14.0% | -5.5% | 10.2% | 0.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.2% | 7.1% | 20.2% | -113.1% | 13.2% | 1.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.5% | 6.4% | 20.2% | -113.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 1.43x | 1.99x | 21.52x | 0.21x | 0.03x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.5x | 7.9x | 8.5x | -21.0x | 0.7x | 1.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 3.7x | 22.4x | 9.8x | -19.0x | 1.6x | 2.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -19.0x | 3.7x | 22.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -187.4x | 1.2x | 5.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 14,866 | 14,866 | 14,866 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,564 | 7,963 | 8,361 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 289,571 | 289,571 | 289,571 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 297,135 | 297,533 | 297,931 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.1 | 14.1 | 14.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 21,078.66 | 21,106.90 | 21,135.14 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21,078.66 | 21,106.90 | 21,135.14 | 23,200.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.1% | -9.0% | -8.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VTO | SKG | DS3 | MHC | VIP | VSA | |
| Enterprise Value | 444,783 | 517,250 | 100,740 | 370,852 | 979,134 | 37,468 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 890,288 | 177,651 | 5,650 | 0 | 0 | 285,921 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10,741 | 0 | 980 | 0 | 0 | 3,649 | |
| (-) Debt | (187,746) | 0 | (47,620) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,158,067 | 694,901 | 59,750 | 370,852 | 979,134 | 327,038 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 79.9 | 66.5 | 10.7 | 43.5 | 68.5 | 14.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14,500.00 | 10,450.00 | 5,600.00 | 8,530.00 | 14,300.00 | 23,200.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14,500.00 | 10,450.00 | 5,600.00 | 8,530.00 | 14,300.00 | 23,200.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |