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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 41,8x - 46,2x | 44,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5,3x - 5,9x | 5,6x |
| Fair Value | ₫51.203 - ₫61.262 | ₫56.232 |
| Upside | -22,7% - -7,5% | -15,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Thaiholdings Joint Stock Company | THD | HNX:THD |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| Dat Phuong Group Joint Stock Company | DPG | HOSE:DPG |
| Ha Do Group Joint Stock Company | HDG | HOSE:HDG |
| Viettel Construction Joint Stock Corporation | CTR | HOSE:CTR |
| SCG Construction Group Joint Stock Company | SCG | HNX:SCG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| THD | CMNP | DPG | HDG | CTR | SCG | ||
| HNX:THD | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:DPG | HOSE:HDG | HOSE:CTR | HNX:SCG | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 9.5% | NM- | -1.0% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 20.8% | NM- | -10.1% | 18.3% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -113.4% | 2.3% | -6.3% | -17.2% | 12.8% | 1713.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.1% | 32.0% | 17.5% | 59.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.9% | 24.9% | 18.3% | 69.6% | 8.0% | -1.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -0.5% | 47.5% | 16.6% | 61.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.5% | 47.5% | 16.6% | 61.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 8.64x | 4.31x | 1.45x | 4.73x | 0.77x | 3.47x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -1710.9x | 9.1x | 8.7x | 7.7x | 9.4x | 50.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1686.1x | 10.3x | 11.5x | 11.3x | 13.6x | 51.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -1710.9x | 8.7x | 9.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 50.4x | 50.4x | 50.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 41.8x | 44.0x | 46.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 186,171 | 186,171 | 186,171 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,779,671 | 8,189,127 | 8,598,584 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,770,093) | (3,770,093) | (3,770,093) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,009,578 | 4,419,034 | 4,828,491 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 47,171.51 | 51,988.64 | 56,805.77 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 47,171.51 | 51,988.64 | 56,805.77 | 66,200.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.7% | -21.5% | -14.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | THD | CMNP | DPG | HDG | CTR | SCG | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,448,470 | 17,722,856 | 5,166,189 | 12,803,561 | 9,825,747 | 9,397,093 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 68,291 | 132,901 | 1,086,018 | 1,068,324 | 0 | 78,072 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,532,739 | 550,603 | 11,049 | 58,744 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (6,641,194) | (2,467,371) | (4,884,010) | 0 | (3,834,943) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1,470,459) | (645,907) | (1,277,360) | 0 | (13,223) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 11,049,499 | 10,294,707 | 3,149,978 | 7,769,258 | 9,825,747 | 5,627,000 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 385.0 | 6,020.3 | 63.0 | 336.3 | 114.4 | 85.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28,700.00 | 1,710.00 | 50,000.00 | 23,100.00 | 85,900.00 | 66,200.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 28,700.00 | 1,710.00 | 50,000.00 | 23,100.00 | 85,900.00 | 66,200.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | IDR | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |