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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4,8x - 5,3x | 5,1x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,1x - 4,6x | 4,4x |
Fair Value | €31,44 - €35 | €33,22 |
Upside | 4,6% - 16,4% | 10,5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Valeo SE | FR | ENXTPA:FR |
Bridgestone Corporation | BGT | DB:BGT |
Burelle SA | BUR | ENXTPA:BUR |
Delfingen Industry S.A. | ALDEL | ENXTPA:ALDEL |
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company | GT | SWX:GT |
Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions | ML | ENXTPA:ML |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
FR | BGT | BUR | ALDEL | GT | ML | ||
ENXTPA:FR | DB:BGT | ENXTPA:BUR | ENXTPA:ALDEL | SWX:GT | ENXTPA:ML | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 0.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 20.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | |
3Y CAGR | 4.9% | 8.5% | 16.0% | -13.4% | -6.9% | 2.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | 3.9% | 35.2% | -56.9% | 6.4% | -3.3% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.6% | 17.8% | 7.0% | 35.5% | 8.2% | 17.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.9% | 18.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 18.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.2% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 452.6% | 8.5% | 18.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.2% | 18.6% | 8.1% | 452.6% | 8.5% | 18.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.29x | 0.86x | 0.24x | 43.61x | 0.58x | 0.84x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.1x | 4.6x | 3.0x | 9.6x | 6.8x | 4.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 6.4x | 8.0x | 7.4x | 1140.5x | 15.5x | 7.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 4.6x | 9.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 5.3x | 6.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 5.1x | 5.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 4,932 | 4,932 | 4,932 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 23,757 | 25,008 | 26,258 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,718) | (1,718) | (1,718) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 22,039 | 23,290 | 24,540 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 705.7 | 705.7 | 705.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 31.23 | 33.00 | 34.77 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 31.23 | 33.00 | 34.77 | 30.06 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 3.9% | 9.8% | 15.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FR | BGT | BUR | ALDEL | GT | ML | |
Enterprise Value | 6,192 | 3,743,344 | 2,539 | 38 | 10,188 | 22,933 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,173 | 706,732 | 694 | 0 | 810 | 4,226 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 424 | 231,099 | 605 | 0 | 0 | 1,504 | |
(-) Debt | (7,038) | (727,720) | (2,461) | 0 | (8,786) | (7,439) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (796) | (54,882) | (828) | 0 | (150) | (9) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,955 | 3,898,573 | 549 | 38 | 2,062 | 21,215 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 243.0 | 684.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 225.2 | 705.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.05 | 5,692.66 | 313.00 | 14.62 | 9.16 | 30.06 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 161.86 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.05 | 35.17 | 313.00 | 14.62 | 7.45 | 30.06 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | CHF | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 161.86 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.00 |