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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12,1x - 13,4x | 12,8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,2x - 9,1x | 8,7x |
Fair Value | €19,67 - €22,25 | €20,96 |
Upside | -2,6% - 10,2% | 3,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Range Resources Corporation | RRC | NYSE:RRC |
ConocoPhillips | COP | NYSE:COP |
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | MGY | NYSE:MGY |
The Williams Companies, Inc. | WMB | NYSE:WMB |
Diversified Energy Company PLC | DEC | NYSE:DEC |
Coterra Energy Inc. | XCQ | DB:XCQ |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RRC | COP | MGY | WMB | DEC | XCQ | ||
NYSE:RRC | NYSE:COP | NYSE:MGY | NYSE:WMB | NYSE:DEC | DB:XCQ | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 14.6% | 32.0% | 7.2% | NM- | 9.6% | |
3Y CAGR | -12.4% | 4.0% | -5.1% | 8.5% | NM- | -4.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -8.0% | -1.8% | -1.7% | -11.5% | -104.8% | -3.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.6% | 22.5% | 27.8% | 31.6% | 2.7% | 37.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 52.2% | 28.4% | 43.6% | 42.4% | 139.4% | 39.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 26.0% | 38.9% | 31.4% | -7.2% | 26.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 24.8% | 26.1% | 38.9% | 31.0% | -7.2% | 28.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 3.48x | 2.14x | 3.46x | 8.66x | 3.99x | 3.88x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 4.9x | 4.9x | 16.9x | 14.1x | 6.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 14.0x | 8.2x | 8.9x | 27.9x | -55.7x | 13.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -55.7x | 8.9x | 27.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.0x | 12.4x | 30.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | 12.8x | 13.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,660 | 1,660 | 1,660 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20,131 | 21,191 | 22,250 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,344) | (4,344) | (4,344) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 15,787 | 16,847 | 17,906 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 763.3 | 763.3 | 763.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 20.68 | 22.07 | 23.46 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.61 | 18.79 | 19.97 | 20.20 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -12.8% | -7.0% | -1.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RRC | COP | MGY | WMB | DEC | XCQ | |
Enterprise Value | 9,752 | 126,407 | 4,658 | 96,023 | 2,901 | 22,453 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 7,235 | 248 | 100 | 6 | 186 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 10,008 | 0 | 4,300 | 6 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,321) | (23,784) | (411) | (27,411) | (1,738) | (4,522) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (56) | (2,378) | (12) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (35) | 0 | (8) | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 8,432 | 119,866 | 4,438 | 70,599 | 1,163 | 18,109 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 238.2 | 1,262.4 | 186.9 | 1,221.0 | 78.0 | 763.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 35.40 | 94.95 | 23.74 | 57.82 | 14.91 | 23.73 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 35.40 | 94.95 | 23.74 | 57.82 | 14.91 | 20.20 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 |