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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 30,5x - 33,7x | 32,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12,4x - 13,8x | 13,1x |
| Fair Value | €3,57 - €3,93 | €3,75 |
| Upside | -4,6% - 5,0% | 0,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. | 600019 | SHSE:600019 |
| Ningxia Orient Tantalum Industry Co., Ltd. | 962 | SZSE:000962 |
| Luyin Investment Group Co.,Ltd. | 600784 | SHSE:600784 |
| ZYF Lopsking Aluminum Co., Ltd. | 2333 | SZSE:002333 |
| Guangdong JingYi Metal CO.,Ltd | 2295 | SZSE:002295 |
| Wanguo Gold Group Limited | WI0 | DB:WI0 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 600019 | 962 | 600784 | 2333 | 2295 | WI0 | ||
| SHSE:600019 | SZSE:000962 | SHSE:600784 | SZSE:002333 | SZSE:002295 | DB:WI0 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -8.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | -7.8% | 64.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -33.2% | 57.8% | 38.0% | 13.4% | -18.2% | 51.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -23.7% | 46.1% | 30.4% | 3.2% | 39.1% | 90.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 23.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 33.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 43.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 53.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 6.60x | 1.41x | 2.08x | 0.73x | 17.87x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 52.5x | 8.0x | 25.7x | 35.5x | 37.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.9x | 69.2x | 12.2x | 56.7x | 52.3x | 41.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 52.3x | 69.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.2x | 11.8x | 18.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 30.5x | 32.1x | 33.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,159 | 1,159 | 1,159 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 35,349 | 37,209 | 39,070 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,492 | 1,492 | 1,492 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 36,841 | 38,701 | 40,562 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,083.8 | 1,083.8 | 1,083.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.99 | 35.71 | 37.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.04 | 4.25 | 4.45 | 3.74 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600019 | 962 | 600784 | 2333 | 2295 | WI0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 159,736 | 8,979 | 4,775 | 3,597 | 3,013 | 32,572 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 23,822 | 429 | 323 | 605 | 242 | 2,029 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 45,287 | 737 | 1,259 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (54,402) | 0 | (1,473) | (569) | (529) | (152) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (20,044) | (14) | (323) | (25) | (6) | (385) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 154,398 | 10,130 | 4,561 | 3,611 | 2,722 | 34,064 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 21,654.8 | 505.0 | 675.7 | 674.9 | 250.6 | 1,083.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.13 | 20.06 | 6.75 | 5.35 | 10.86 | 31.43 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.40 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.13 | 20.06 | 6.75 | 5.35 | 10.86 | 3.74 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.40 | |