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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,6x - 0,7x | 0,7x |
| Fair Value | €3,75 - €5,82 | €4,78 |
| Upside | -30,0% - 8,7% | -10,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Yamato Mobility & Mfg. Co.,Ltd. | 7886 | TSE:7886 |
| Gun Ei Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. | 4229 | TSE:4229 |
| Shin-Etsu Polymer Co.,Ltd. | 7970 | TSE:7970 |
| Tensho Electric Industries Co., Ltd. | 6776 | TSE:6776 |
| Yushiro Inc. | 5013 | TSE:5013 |
| Toyobo Co., Ltd. | TO7 | DB:TO7 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 7886 | 4229 | 7970 | 6776 | 5013 | TO7 | |||
| TSE:7886 | TSE:4229 | TSE:7970 | TSE:6776 | TSE:5013 | DB:TO7 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 0.3% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 4.1% | 1.3% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 4.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.6% | 0.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.14x | 0.35x | 0.82x | 0.06x | 0.17x | 0.77x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.4x | 4.6x | 6.8x | 1.8x | 1.8x | 19.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.08x | 0.62x | 1.24x | 0.16x | 0.52x | 0.20x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.06x | 0.17x | 0.82x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 0.70x | 0.77x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.72x | 0.76x | 0.79x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 422,032 | 422,032 | 422,032 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 302,922 | 318,865 | 334,808 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (241,894) | (241,894) | (241,894) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 61,028 | 76,971 | 92,914 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 88.2 | 88.2 | 88.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 692.14 | 872.96 | 1,053.78 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 172.2 | 172.2 | 172.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.02 | 5.07 | 6.12 | 5.35 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -24.9% | -5.3% | 14.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 7886 | 4229 | 7970 | 6776 | 5013 | TO7 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,310 | (4,426) | 90,334 | 1,645 | 9,367 | 323,147 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,002 | 10,949 | 44,901 | 3,298 | 12,380 | 28,581 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 197 | 15,035 | 1,920 | 4,085 | 14,835 | 27,327 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,192) | (735) | 0 | (4,485) | (5,954) | (261,070) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (1,985) | 0 | 0 | (1,536) | (36,732) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,316 | 18,838 | 137,155 | 4,543 | 29,092 | 81,253 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1.3 | 6.6 | 80.4 | 17.0 | 13.4 | 88.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 990.00 | 2,840.00 | 1,705.00 | 267.00 | 2,163.00 | 921.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.25 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 990.00 | 2,840.00 | 1,705.00 | 267.00 | 2,163.00 | 5.35 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.25 | |