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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 1.523,6x - 1.683,9x | 1.603,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 100,4x - 110,9x | 105,7x |
| Fair Value | €330,22 - €364,31 | €347,26 |
| Upside | -48,7% - -43,4% | -46,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| VirTra, Inc. | VTSI | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
| The Boeing Company | BA | NYSE:BA |
| Byrna Technologies Inc. | BYRN | NasdaqCM:BYRN |
| TransDigm Group Incorporated | TDG | NYSE:TDG |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc. | HWM | NYSE:HWM |
| Axon Enterprise, Inc. | TCS | DB:TCS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| VTSI | BA | BYRN | TDG | HWM | TCS | ||
| NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:BA | NasdaqCM:BYRN | NYSE:TDG | NYSE:HWM | DB:TCS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 40.1% | NM- | NM- | 13.3% | 6.5% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 11.1% | NM- | NM- | 28.3% | 24.9% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -63.1% | -1645.8% | 425.6% | 15.0% | 31.9% | -87.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.0% | -5.3% | -11.8% | 41.2% | 18.1% | 0.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.8% | 1.7% | -18.3% | 44.6% | 17.8% | 10.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.6% | -15.1% | 7.8% | 45.3% | 21.6% | 3.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.2% | -11.8% | 9.6% | 46.6% | 23.8% | 0.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.76x | 2.79x | 4.39x | 11.96x | 9.61x | 25.15x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.1x | -29.9x | 38.7x | 23.5x | 35.1x | 693.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.1x | -23.6x | 45.7x | 25.6x | 40.4x | 3082.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -23.6x | 25.6x | 45.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -210.5x | 141.7x | 364.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 1523.6x | 1603.8x | 1683.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 20 | 20 | 20 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 29,729 | 31,294 | 32,859 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 583 | 583 | 583 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 30,312 | 31,877 | 33,442 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 78.5 | 78.5 | 78.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 386.12 | 406.05 | 425.99 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 330.06 | 347.09 | 364.13 | 643.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -48.7% | -46.0% | -43.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VTSI | BA | BYRN | TDG | HWM | TCS | |
| Enterprise Value | 48 | 208,823 | 455 | 102,609 | 74,211 | 58,488 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 21 | 22,258 | 13 | 2,812 | 545 | 2,231 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1,036 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 404 | |
| (-) Debt | (8) | (55,647) | (3) | (25,076) | (3,428) | (2,051) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 1 | 0 | (8) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (6) | 0 | 0 | (55) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 60 | 176,465 | 465 | 80,345 | 71,273 | 59,071 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11.3 | 756.2 | 22.7 | 56.4 | 403.1 | 78.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.35 | 233.37 | 20.48 | 1,425.81 | 176.80 | 752.46 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.35 | 233.37 | 20.48 | 1,425.81 | 176.80 | 643.20 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |