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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,3x - 6,9x | 6,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3,5x - 3,9x | 3,7x |
| Fair Value | €18,67 - €20,71 | €19,69 |
| Upside | 15,2% - 27,9% | 21,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Keihin Co., Ltd. | 9312 | TSE:9312 |
| Hamakyorex Co., Ltd. | 9037 | TSE:9037 |
| Chuo Warehouse Co.,Ltd. | 9319 | TSE:9319 |
| Sankyu Inc. | 9065 | TSE:9065 |
| Loginet Japan Co., Ltd. | 9027 | SPSE:9027 |
| Being Holdings Co., Ltd. | SO0 | DB:SO0 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9312 | 9037 | 9319 | 9065 | 9027 | SO0 | ||
| TSE:9312 | TSE:9037 | TSE:9319 | TSE:9065 | SPSE:9027 | DB:SO0 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -2.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 0.3% | 20.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 19.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.10x | 0.74x | 0.41x | 0.56x | 0.24x | 0.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.1x | 5.6x | 2.9x | 5.3x | 3.4x | 5.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 1.8x | 8.2x | 5.2x | 7.7x | 5.1x | 7.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.1x | 3.4x | 5.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 7.9x | 8.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 6.6x | 6.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,953 | 2,953 | 2,953 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 18,528 | 19,503 | 20,478 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (758) | (758) | (758) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 17,770 | 18,745 | 19,720 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,949.45 | 3,111.31 | 3,273.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 162.7 | 162.7 | 162.7 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 18.12 | 19.12 | 20.11 | 16.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.9% | 18.0% | 24.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9312 | 9037 | 9319 | 9065 | 9027 | SO0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,195 | 108,108 | 11,455 | 337,269 | 18,716 | 16,642 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,461 | 23,643 | 8,488 | 48,599 | 377 | 4,951 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9,398 | 6,717 | 12,799 | 64,344 | 4,079 | 626 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,581) | (30,533) | (6,075) | (89,495) | (5,836) | (5,940) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (12,337) | (286) | (3,851) | 0 | (395) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 15,473 | 95,598 | 26,381 | 356,866 | 17,336 | 15,884 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.5 | 74.0 | 18.5 | 52.7 | 5.3 | 6.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,370.00 | 1,292.00 | 1,428.00 | 6,770.00 | 3,245.00 | 2,636.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 162.74 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,370.00 | 1,292.00 | 1,428.00 | 6,770.00 | 3,245.00 | 16.20 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 162.74 | |