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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8,9x - 9,9x | 9,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,8x - 8,6x | 8,2x |
| Fair Value | €28,73 - €35,76 | €32,24 |
| Upside | -27,4% - -9,7% | -18,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| TriMas Corporation | TRS | NasdaqGS:TRS |
| Packaging Corporation of America | PKG | NYSE:PKG |
| Sonoco Products Company | SON | NYSE:SON |
| AptarGroup, Inc. | ATR | NYSE:ATR |
| Greif, Inc. | GEF | NYSE:GEF |
| Silgan Holdings Inc. | SL3 | DB:SL3 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TRS | PKG | SON | ATR | GEF | SL3 | ||
| NasdaqGS:TRS | NYSE:PKG | NYSE:SON | NYSE:ATR | NYSE:GEF | DB:SL3 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 7.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -9.2% | -0.7% | 65.3% | 8.7% | -2.6% | 1.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.4% | 17.2% | 38.9% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 10.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.0% | 20.9% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.1% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.8% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.09x | 2.40x | 1.57x | 2.79x | 1.12x | 1.57x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.6x | 11.4x | 9.2x | 12.6x | 8.2x | 10.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 30.8x | 16.3x | 15.5x | 19.0x | 12.6x | 14.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 11.4x | 15.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 10.1x | 10.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.9x | 9.4x | 9.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 949 | 949 | 949 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,460 | 8,905 | 9,350 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,735) | (4,735) | (4,735) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,725 | 4,170 | 4,616 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 107.0 | 107.0 | 107.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 34.82 | 38.98 | 43.14 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 29.91 | 33.48 | 37.06 | 39.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -24.5% | -15.4% | -6.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TRS | PKG | SON | ATR | GEF | SL3 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,038 | 20,767 | 10,022 | 10,064 | 6,141 | 9,667 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30 | 880 | 330 | 170 | 253 | 317 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 76 | 21 | 160 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (495) | (2,811) | (5,749) | (1,172) | (3,073) | (5,052) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (15) | (18) | (172) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,574 | 18,912 | 4,609 | 9,204 | 3,148 | 4,932 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40.6 | 89.4 | 98.6 | 65.9 | 47.5 | 107.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 38.73 | 211.62 | 46.73 | 139.71 | 66.33 | 46.10 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38.73 | 211.62 | 46.73 | 139.71 | 66.33 | 39.60 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |