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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 20,3x - 22,5x | 21,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13,8x - 15,3x | 14,6x |
| Fair Value | €0,010 - €0,081 | €0,046 |
| Upside | -86,7% - 5,8% | -40,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Road King Infrastructure Limited | 1098 | SEHK:1098 |
| Logan Group Company Limited | 3380 | SEHK:3380 |
| China Resources Land Limited | 1109 | SEHK:1109 |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited | 688 | SEHK:688 |
| China Vanke Co., Ltd. | 2202 | SEHK:2202 |
| Shenzhen Investment Limited | SHS | DB:SHS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 1098 | 3380 | 1109 | 688 | 2202 | SHS | ||
| SEHK:1098 | SEHK:3380 | SEHK:1109 | SEHK:688 | SEHK:2202 | DB:SHS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 0.6% | -12.7% | -42.5% | -10.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 1.0% | -20.3% | -54.1% | -37.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -32.3% | 6.1% | -5.4% | -25.2% | -95.7% | -7.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.2% | 1.7% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 10.3% | 26.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -15.4% | -14.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 17.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -48.1% | -27.9% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 1.4% | 16.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -48.1% | -27.9% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 0.6% | 16.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.37x | 3.88x | 1.36x | 1.23x | 1.25x | 3.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.8x | -14.0x | 7.9x | 8.8x | 53.7x | 20.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.8x | -13.9x | 8.1x | 8.9x | 220.6x | 22.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -13.9x | 8.1x | 220.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.8x | 5.5x | 22.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 20.3x | 21.4x | 22.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 2,564 | 2,564 | 2,564 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 52,095 | 54,837 | 57,579 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (51,305) | (51,305) | (51,305) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 790 | 3,532 | 6,274 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8,898.8 | 8,898.8 | 8,898.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.09 | 0.40 | 0.71 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 8.7 | 8.7 | 8.7 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.08 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -86.7% | -40.4% | 5.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1098 | 3380 | 1109 | 688 | 2202 | SHS | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,073 | 92,266 | 384,003 | 230,254 | 402,305 | 57,236 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,274 | 8,654 | 137,029 | 123,892 | 75,519 | 5,817 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 14,050 | 14,581 | 90,617 | 46,185 | 113,399 | 10,348 | |
| (-) Debt | (16,821) | (106,603) | (320,977) | (243,406) | (377,976) | (60,700) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,961) | (4,568) | (124,232) | (21,219) | (133,246) | (6,770) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 614 | 4,329 | 166,440 | 135,707 | 80,002 | 5,931 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 749.3 | 5,520.9 | 7,130.9 | 10,944.9 | 16,300.3 | 8,898.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.82 | 0.78 | 23.34 | 12.40 | 4.91 | 0.67 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 8.71 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.82 | 0.85 | 25.30 | 13.44 | 5.32 | 0.08 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 8.71 | |