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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,4x - 9,3x | 8,8x |
Fair Value | €16,87 - €18,96 | €17,91 |
Upside | 16,3% - 30,8% | 23,5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. | AMN | NYSE:AMN |
Option Care Health, Inc. | OPCH | NasdaqGS:OPCH |
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. | ACHC | NasdaqGS:ACHC |
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. | AVAH | NasdaqGS:AVAH |
CorVel Corporation | CRVL | NasdaqGS:CRVL |
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. | PDC | DB:PDC |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AMN | OPCH | ACHC | AVAH | CRVL | PDC | ||
NYSE:AMN | NasdaqGS:OPCH | NasdaqGS:ACHC | NasdaqGS:AVAH | NasdaqGS:CRVL | DB:PDC | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -8.2% | 66.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.8% | -4.6% | |
3Y CAGR | -37.0% | 19.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | -5.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -70.4% | 5.9% | -11.2% | 88.1% | 31.1% | 39.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.7% | 5.9% | 17.0% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 9.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.1% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 1.03x | 1.37x | 1.37x | 4.82x | 0.90x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 13.9x | 6.8x | 12.9x | 28.0x | 7.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 28.8x | 16.6x | 9.4x | 13.4x | 34.6x | 8.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 16.6x | 34.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 9.6x | 17.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.5x | 10.0x | 10.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 213 | 213 | 213 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,023 | 2,130 | 2,236 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (301) | (301) | (301) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,722 | 1,829 | 1,935 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 85.4 | 85.4 | 85.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 20.17 | 21.42 | 22.66 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.33 | 18.40 | 19.47 | 14.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 19.5% | 26.9% | 34.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AMN | OPCH | ACHC | AVAH | CRVL | PDC | |
Enterprise Value | 1,694 | 5,526 | 4,413 | 2,972 | 4,431 | 1,743 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 42 | 206 | 131 | 101 | 202 | 348 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 28 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (956) | (1,229) | (2,409) | (1,491) | (27) | (650) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (146) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 780 | 4,531 | 1,990 | 1,602 | 4,606 | 1,441 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 38.3 | 162.3 | 92.3 | 208.9 | 51.3 | 85.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 20.35 | 27.92 | 21.55 | 7.67 | 89.76 | 16.88 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.35 | 27.92 | 21.55 | 7.67 | 89.76 | 14.50 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |