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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19,1x - 21,1x | 20,1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 15,6x - 17,2x | 16,4x |
Fair Value | €21,33 - €23,79 | €22,56 |
Upside | 28,0% - 42,7% | 35,3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Sanyo Denki Co., Ltd. | 6516 | TSE:6516 |
ABB Ltd | ABLZ.F | OTCPK:ABLZ.F |
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. | 6479 | TSE:6479 |
Rockwell Automation, Inc. | ROK | NYSE:ROK |
Allient Inc. | ALNT | NasdaqGM:ALNT |
Nidec Corporation | NIB | DB:NIB |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
6516 | ABLZ.F | 6479 | ROK | ALNT | NIB | ||
TSE:6516 | OTCPK:ABLZ.F | TSE:6479 | NYSE:ROK | NasdaqGM:ALNT | DB:NIB | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 52.2% | 17.1% | 10.4% | -0.9% | 0.4% | 16.7% | |
3Y CAGR | -10.3% | 12.2% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 11.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -12.9% | 19.0% | 6.3% | -11.0% | -12.5% | 48.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 16.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 15.2% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 8.0% | 16.5% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.3% | 17.7% | NA | 16.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 3.78x | 0.83x | 5.21x | 1.76x | 1.43x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 18.9x | 8.0x | 25.9x | 15.2x | 9.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 21.3x | 13.8x | 32.1x | 26.7x | 15.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 21.3x | 32.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 19.3x | 29.3x | 61.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.1x | 20.1x | 21.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 241,588 | 241,588 | 241,588 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,619,337 | 4,862,460 | 5,105,583 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (389,807) | (389,807) | (389,807) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 4,229,530 | 4,472,653 | 4,715,776 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,146.3 | 1,146.3 | 1,146.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3,689.70 | 3,901.79 | 4,113.88 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 172.3 | 172.3 | 172.3 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21.42 | 22.65 | 23.88 | 16.67 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 28.5% | 35.9% | 43.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 6516 | ABLZ.F | 6479 | ROK | ALNT | NIB | |
Enterprise Value | 73,023 | 127,818 | 1,271,628 | 41,848 | 913 | 3,682,132 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 29,530 | 5,112 | 255,804 | 495 | 50 | 246,239 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 19,297 | 394 | 0 | 181 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (6,739) | (9,838) | (515,489) | (3,875) | (227) | (636,046) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (525) | (10,791) | (165) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 115,111 | 122,961 | 1,001,152 | 38,484 | 738 | 3,292,325 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.8 | 1,822.9 | 401.6 | 112.4 | 16.9 | 1,146.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 9,730.00 | 67.45 | 2,493.00 | 342.28 | 43.52 | 2,872.11 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.29 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9,730.00 | 67.45 | 2,493.00 | 342.28 | 43.52 | 16.67 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | USD | JPY | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.29 |