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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 15,2x - 16,8x | 16,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11,5x - 12,7x | 12,1x |
| Fair Value | €23,29 - €25,53 | €24,41 |
| Upside | -3,0% - 6,4% | 1,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Trelleborg AB (publ) | TREL B | OM:TRELB |
| Deere & Company | DCO | DB:DCO |
| Cavotec Group AB | CCC | OM:CCC |
| Weichai Power Co., Ltd. | WI4 | DB:WI4 |
| Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. | MIH | DB:MIH |
| Wärtsilä Oyj Abp | MTA | DB:MTA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TREL B | DCO | CCC | WI4 | MIH | MTA | ||
| OM:TRELB | DB:DCO | OM:CCC | DB:WI4 | DB:MIH | DB:MTA | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.9% | 12.9% | -5.7% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 10.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 14.5% | 4.8% | 62.7% | 5.3% | 25.7% | 26.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.1% | -34.3% | -5.9% | -0.5% | 17.4% | 44.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.4% | 22.0% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.1% | 24.9% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.4% | 22.0% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.5% | 20.5% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.63x | 4.39x | 1.04x | 0.60x | 2.25x | 1.89x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.9x | 21.4x | 15.9x | 5.0x | 23.0x | 15.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.6x | 27.3x | 17.6x | 8.5x | 34.2x | 17.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.0x | 15.9x | 23.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.9x | 16.8x | 21.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.2x | 16.0x | 16.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 836 | 836 | 836 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,691 | 13,359 | 14,027 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,146 | 1,146 | 1,146 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,837 | 14,505 | 15,173 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 588.4 | 588.4 | 588.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 23.51 | 24.65 | 25.78 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.51 | 24.65 | 25.78 | 24.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -2.0% | 2.7% | 7.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TREL B | DCO | CCC | WI4 | MIH | MTA | |
| Enterprise Value | 91,414 | 200,214 | 178 | 163,324 | 11,378,246 | 12,976 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,073 | 6,862 | 16 | 81,047 | 657,816 | 1,697 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 14 | 372 | 0 | 12,358 | 1,205,039 | 57 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,770) | (67,108) | (27) | (55,200) | (1,131,274) | (602) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (4) | (91) | 0 | (35,660) | (123,121) | (6) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 82,727 | 140,249 | 166 | 165,869 | 11,986,706 | 14,122 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 227.9 | 270.8 | 103.3 | 10,470.8 | 3,357.7 | 588.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 363.00 | 517.85 | 1.61 | 15.84 | 3,569.95 | 24.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.09 | 8.42 | 173.38 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 363.00 | 440.90 | 18.00 | 1.88 | 20.59 | 24.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | EUR | SEK | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.09 | 8.42 | 173.38 | 1.00 | |