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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,2x - 1,3x | 1,3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,1x |
| Fair Value | €40,20 - €44,88 | €42,54 |
| Upside | -31,9% - -23,9% | -27,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| WSP Global Inc. | WSP | TSX:WSP |
| Stantec Inc. | STN | TSX:STN |
| Skanska AB (publ) | SKSB.F | OTCPK:SKSB.F |
| JGC Holdings Corporation | 1963 | TSE:1963 |
| China Railway Group Limited | 601390 | SHSE:601390 |
| AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. | LAV0 | DB:LAV0 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| WSP | STN | SKSB.F | 1963 | 601390 | LAV0 | |||
| TSX:WSP | TSX:STN | OTCPK:SKSB.F | TSE:1963 | SHSE:601390 | DB:LAV0 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.6% | 9.6% | 0.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 16.3% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 26.1% | 2.6% | 9.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | -9.0% | 12.1% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.2% | 11.0% | 2.5% | -2.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.9% | 11.2% | 3.3% | -1.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.9% | 11.4% | 3.6% | -1.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.42x | 3.01x | 0.52x | 0.00x | 0.40x | 1.75x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 27.4x | 26.3x | 14.3x | -0.1x | 9.7x | 27.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.12x | 2.71x | 0.52x | 0.35x | 0.11x | 1.63x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.00x | 0.52x | 3.01x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.77x | 0.96x | 1.59x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 1.27x | 1.34x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 9,949 | 9,949 | 9,949 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,046 | 12,680 | 13,314 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,173) | (1,173) | (1,173) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,873 | 11,507 | 12,141 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 173.3 | 173.3 | 173.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 62.74 | 66.40 | 70.06 | |||||
| FX Rate: CAD/EUR | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 39.89 | 42.21 | 44.54 | 59.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -32.4% | -28.5% | -24.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WSP | STN | SKSB.F | 1963 | 601390 | LAV0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 40,727 | 18,529 | 92,546 | (78,759) | 463,644 | 17,257 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 413 | 254 | 16,650 | 333,701 | 184,824 | 627 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 2,132 | 80,386 | 195,317 | 403 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,603) | (2,055) | (17,979) | (34,889) | (554,096) | (2,188) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (148) | (1,604) | (151,882) | (15) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 35,537 | 16,728 | 93,201 | 298,835 | 137,807 | 16,084 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 130.5 | 114.1 | 411.9 | 241.7 | 24,741.0 | 173.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 272.30 | 146.65 | 226.28 | 1,236.50 | 5.57 | 92.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.53 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.57 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 272.30 | 146.65 | 23.75 | 1,236.50 | 5.57 | 59.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | USD | JPY | CNY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.53 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.57 | |