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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5,2x - 5,7x | 5,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,3x - 5,9x | 5,6x |
| Fair Value | €0,018 - €0,033 | €0,025 |
| Upside | 16,8% - 110,7% | 63,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited | 6828 | SEHK:6828 |
| Global Strategic Group Limited | 8007 | SEHK:8007 |
| Binhai Investment Company Limited | 2886 | SEHK:2886 |
| China Gas Holdings Limited | 384 | SEHK:384 |
| Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. | 2911 | SZSE:002911 |
| China Oil And Gas Group Limited | GPI1 | DB:GPI1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6828 | 8007 | 2886 | 384 | 2911 | GPI1 | ||
| SEHK:6828 | SEHK:8007 | SEHK:2886 | SEHK:384 | SZSE:002911 | DB:GPI1 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 8.0% | -10.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -9.5% | -24.4% | 5.4% | -14.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 34.1% | 86.5% | -20.4% | 17.7% | -5.5% | 30.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -13.3% | -29.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -6.9% | -9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -5.8% | -1.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 7.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.8% | -1.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 7.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 1.06x | 0.70x | 0.92x | 0.46x | 0.39x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 577.9x | 11.4x | 7.1x | 8.8x | 9.4x | 3.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -9.3x | -106.8x | 10.6x | 12.9x | 13.5x | 5.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -106.8x | 10.6x | 13.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.5x | 5.3x | 9.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 5.5x | 5.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,356 | 1,356 | 1,356 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,028 | 7,398 | 7,768 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,107) | (6,107) | (6,107) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 921 | 1,291 | 1,661 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,943.6 | 5,943.6 | 5,943.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 8.6 | 8.6 | 8.6 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.8% | 63.7% | 110.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6828 | 8007 | 2886 | 384 | 2911 | GPI1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 914 | 234 | 4,347 | 74,233 | 14,484 | 6,895 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 360 | 24 | 385 | 9,232 | 2,789 | 4,348 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,993 | 0 | 322 | 22,758 | 1,584 | 1,675 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,348) | (147) | (3,342) | (60,771) | (3,155) | (8,575) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (124) | (96) | (82) | (7,042) | (1,027) | (3,554) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (144) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 796 | 15 | 1,486 | 38,409 | 14,675 | 788 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22,736.1 | 455.9 | 1,375.9 | 5,448.2 | 1,297.5 | 5,943.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.08 | 7.05 | 11.31 | 0.13 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.56 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.08 | 7.05 | 11.31 | 0.02 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | CNY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.56 | |