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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5,1x - 5,6x | 5,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,2x - 5,8x | 5,5x |
| Fair Value | €0,016 - €0,030 | €0,023 |
| Upside | 20,6% - 125,2% | 72,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited | 6828 | SEHK:6828 |
| Global Strategic Group Limited | 8007 | SEHK:8007 |
| Binhai Investment Company Limited | 2886 | SEHK:2886 |
| China Gas Holdings Limited | 384 | SEHK:384 |
| Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 135 | SEHK:135 |
| China Oil And Gas Group Limited | GPI1 | DB:GPI1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6828 | 8007 | 2886 | 384 | 135 | GPI1 | ||
| SEHK:6828 | SEHK:8007 | SEHK:2886 | SEHK:384 | SEHK:135 | DB:GPI1 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 7.8% | -10.5% | 11.8% | 4.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -9.7% | -24.4% | 8.5% | -14.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -14.5% | 86.5% | -24.4% | 17.7% | -1.4% | 32.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -13.0% | -29.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -4.4% | -9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -5.8% | -1.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.8% | -1.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 1.05x | 0.69x | 0.93x | 0.27x | 0.38x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -34.6x | 11.3x | 7.0x | 8.8x | 3.0x | 3.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -9.5x | -106.2x | 10.5x | 13.0x | 4.2x | 5.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -106.2x | 4.2x | 13.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.5x | 5.3x | 9.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.1x | 5.4x | 5.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,366 | 1,366 | 1,366 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,954 | 7,320 | 7,686 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,107) | (6,107) | (6,107) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 847 | 1,213 | 1,579 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,943.6 | 5,943.6 | 5,943.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.27 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 8.7 | 8.7 | 8.7 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.01 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 21.1% | 73.4% | 125.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6828 | 8007 | 2886 | 384 | 135 | GPI1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 960 | 232 | 4,274 | 74,887 | 49,829 | 6,807 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 360 | 24 | 387 | 9,232 | 45,092 | 4,348 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,993 | 0 | 322 | 22,758 | 14,988 | 1,675 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,348) | (147) | (3,342) | (60,771) | (24,279) | (8,575) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (124) | (96) | (82) | (7,042) | (23,686) | (3,554) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (144) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 841 | 14 | 1,415 | 39,063 | 61,944 | 700 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22,736.1 | 455.9 | 1,374.1 | 5,448.2 | 8,658.8 | 5,943.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 7.17 | 7.15 | 0.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 8.72 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 7.17 | 7.75 | 0.01 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 8.72 | |