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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 32,9x - 36,3x | 34,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 18,6x - 20,5x | 19,6x |
| Fair Value | €4,40 - €7,73 | €6,06 |
| Upside | -54,7% - -20,4% | -37,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| General Motors Company | GM | NYSE:GM |
| Rivian Automotive, Inc. | RIVN | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
| ECD Automotive Design, Inc. | ECDA | NasdaqCM:ECDA |
| Envirotech Vehicles, Inc. | EVTV | NasdaqCM:EVTV |
| Lucid Group, Inc. | LCID | NasdaqGS:LCID |
| Ford Motor Company | FMC1 | DB:FMC1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GM | RIVN | ECDA | EVTV | LCID | FMC1 | ||
| NYSE:GM | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqCM:ECDA | NasdaqCM:EVTV | NasdaqGS:LCID | DB:FMC1 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 115.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 3.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -8.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.3% | 33.3% | -294.2% | -3.8% | 3.0% | -5.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | -15125.8% | -14.9% | -312.2% | -5333.7% | 2.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.6% | -129.4% | -7.9% | -266.0% | -516.6% | 3.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | -94.3% | -18.1% | -423.5% | -371.4% | 2.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | -77.1% | -22.4% | -520.7% | -340.5% | 2.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.86x | 2.82x | 1.44x | 5.79x | 10.27x | 0.93x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | -4.9x | -10.2x | -1.2x | -3.4x | 16.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.2x | -3.7x | -6.4x | -1.1x | -3.0x | 38.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -6.4x | -3.0x | 13.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -45.8x | 18.0x | 50.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 32.9x | 34.6x | 36.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,385 | 4,385 | 4,385 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 144,182 | 151,770 | 159,359 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (125,784) | (125,784) | (125,784) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 18,398 | 25,986 | 33,575 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,976.5 | 3,976.5 | 3,976.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.63 | 6.53 | 8.44 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.98 | 5.62 | 7.27 | 9.71 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -59.0% | -42.1% | -25.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GM | RIVN | ECDA | EVTV | LCID | FMC1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 162,645 | 14,111 | 35 | 10 | 8,938 | 170,637 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19,089 | 7,178 | 1 | 0 | 3,611 | 26,994 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5,651 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 947 | 5,030 | |
| (-) Debt | (134,163) | (4,869) | (23) | (5) | (2,558) | (157,783) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,054) | (8) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (25) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (1,665) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 51,168 | 16,412 | 13 | 5 | 9,273 | 44,853 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 961.4 | 1,197.9 | 47.6 | 25.7 | 3,050.3 | 3,976.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 53.22 | 13.70 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 3.04 | 11.28 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 53.22 | 13.70 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 3.04 | 9.71 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |