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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 20,4x - 22,5x | 21,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,1x - 11,1x | 10,6x |
| Fair Value | €0,29 - €0,59 | €0,44 |
| Upside | -44,1% - 13,7% | -15,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| BBMG Corporation | 2009 | SEHK:2009 |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited | 914 | SEHK:914 |
| Huaxin Cement Co., Ltd. | 6655 | SEHK:6655 |
| China West Construction Group Co., Ltd | 2302 | SZSE:002302 |
| Huaibei GreenGold Industry Investment Co., Ltd. | 2450 | SEHK:2450 |
| China National Building Material Company Limited | D1Y | DB:D1Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2009 | 914 | 6655 | 2302 | 2450 | D1Y | ||
| SEHK:2009 | SEHK:914 | SEHK:6655 | SZSE:002302 | SEHK:2450 | DB:D1Y | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -61.5% | -27.4% | -14.6% | NM- | -22.8% | -26.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -77.6% | -40.0% | -19.0% | NM- | -28.3% | -40.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 97.7% | -16.6% | -7.2% | -122.5% | -48.7% | -28.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 3.8% | 42.4% | 9.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.2% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 4.5% | 41.9% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | -0.2% | 26.4% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | -1.1% | 26.4% | 4.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 1.05x | 1.41x | 0.53x | 7.98x | 1.06x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 28.2x | 5.3x | 6.2x | 126.0x | 14.8x | 8.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -3653.0x | 10.3x | 11.3x | -48.0x | 30.2x | 22.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -3653.0x | 10.3x | 30.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.4x | 10.0x | 26.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 20.4x | 21.5x | 22.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 8,604 | 8,604 | 8,604 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 175,381 | 184,611 | 193,842 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (160,282) | (160,282) | (160,282) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 15,098 | 24,329 | 33,559 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7,593.0 | 7,593.0 | 7,593.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.99 | 3.20 | 4.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.51 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -53.5% | -25.1% | 3.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2009 | 914 | 6655 | 2302 | 2450 | D1Y | |
| Enterprise Value | 135,602 | 106,830 | 54,581 | 10,666 | 1,921 | 192,774 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18,890 | 64,449 | 6,365 | 2,160 | 323 | 38,513 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 11,098 | 9,581 | 1,552 | 298 | 0 | 35,075 | |
| (-) Debt | (130,725) | (29,139) | (21,444) | (3,591) | (1,360) | (157,592) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (17,904) | (12,402) | (4,432) | (1,227) | (234) | (76,278) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 16,960 | 139,320 | 36,623 | 8,306 | 649 | 32,492 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 22,083.7 | 6,362.7 | 2,936.7 | 1,262.4 | 264.0 | 7,593.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.77 | 21.90 | 12.47 | 6.58 | 2.46 | 4.28 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 8.31 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.84 | 23.95 | 13.64 | 6.58 | 2.69 | 0.51 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | CNY | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 8.31 | |