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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15,0x - 16,5x | 15,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 15,9x - 17,6x | 16,8x |
| Fair Value | €0,010 - €0,11 | €0,060 |
| Upside | -85,8% - 48,8% | -18,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited | 836 | SEHK:836 |
| China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited | 916 | SEHK:916 |
| Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited | 1250 | SEHK:1250 |
| Canvest Environmental Protection Group Company Limited | 1381 | SEHK:1381 |
| Concord New Energy Group Limited | 182 | SEHK:182 |
| China Everbright Greentech Limited | CK7 | DB:CK7 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 836 | 916 | 1250 | 1381 | 182 | CK7 | ||
| SEHK:836 | SEHK:916 | SEHK:1250 | SEHK:1381 | SEHK:182 | DB:CK7 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 6.8% | -5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | -11.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 54.0% | -1.8% | -4.1% | -3.4% | 5.9% | -13.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.8% | -0.7% | -12.1% | 4.2% | 16.5% | 8.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.8% | 36.3% | 35.9% | 29.8% | 43.3% | 21.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.7% | 37.0% | 37.9% | 33.6% | 38.4% | 16.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 21.4% | 37.3% | 37.4% | 41.3% | 42.1% | 18.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 21.4% | 37.3% | 37.4% | 41.3% | 42.1% | 18.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.56x | 6.98x | 6.82x | 5.23x | 5.55x | 2.96x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 10.2x | 9.1x | 8.5x | 7.7x | 9.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.9x | 18.7x | 18.3x | 12.6x | 13.2x | 15.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 11.9x | 13.2x | 18.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.0x | 15.4x | 17.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.0x | 15.7x | 16.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,309 | 1,309 | 1,309 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,578 | 20,609 | 21,639 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (19,262) | (19,262) | (19,262) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 316 | 1,346 | 2,377 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,356.8 | 2,356.8 | 2,356.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.13 | 0.57 | 1.01 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.07 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -79.3% | -11.6% | 56.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 836 | 916 | 1250 | 1381 | 182 | CK7 | |
| Enterprise Value | 269,402 | 94,199 | 30,163 | 21,955 | 15,281 | 20,786 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5,834 | 0 | 4,199 | 1,829 | 1,750 | 1,660 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 22,324 | 0 | 1,769 | 1,468 | 3,034 | 258 | |
| (-) Debt | (194,156) | 0 | (26,563) | (13,285) | (16,650) | (21,028) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (10,114) | 0 | (6,131) | (355) | (191) | (152) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 93,291 | 94,199 | 3,437 | 11,612 | 3,223 | 1,524 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,177.1 | 16,610.0 | 2,246.6 | 2,439.5 | 7,802.0 | 2,356.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 18.02 | 5.67 | 1.53 | 4.76 | 0.41 | 0.65 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 8.80 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.02 | 6.04 | 1.53 | 4.76 | 0.44 | 0.07 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 8.80 | |