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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 21,8x - 24,1x | 22,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14,9x - 16,4x | 15,7x |
Fair Value | €130,53 - €145,21 | €137,87 |
Upside | -18,9% - -9,8% | -14,4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Quanex Building Products Corporation | NX | NYSE:NX |
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | APOG | NasdaqGS:APOG |
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. | SSD | NYSE:SSD |
Carlisle Companies Incorporated | CSL | NYSE:CSL |
Masco Corporation | MAS | NYSE:MAS |
Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 91A | DB:91A |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
NX | APOG | SSD | CSL | MAS | 91A | ||
NYSE:NX | NasdaqGS:APOG | NYSE:SSD | NYSE:CSL | NYSE:MAS | DB:91A | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.6% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | |
3Y CAGR | -12.3% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 24.6% | 9.9% | 15.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -27.6% | -22.2% | 0.4% | -10.5% | -1.3% | 17.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.6% | 8.5% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 18.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.3% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 19.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.4% | 10.3% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 19.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.5% | 8.8% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 20.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.07x | 0.89x | 3.44x | 3.48x | 2.28x | 5.53x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.5x | 7.3x | 14.6x | 14.2x | 11.6x | 20.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 23.9x | 10.2x | 17.5x | 16.8x | 12.9x | 27.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.2x | 16.8x | 23.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 20.7x | 34.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 21.8x | 22.9x | 24.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 314 | 314 | 314 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,833 | 7,193 | 7,553 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (450) | (450) | (450) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 6,383 | 6,743 | 7,103 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 43.3 | 43.3 | 43.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 147.56 | 155.87 | 164.19 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 127.14 | 134.30 | 141.47 | 161.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -21.0% | -16.6% | -12.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NX | APOG | SSD | CSL | MAS | 91A | |
Enterprise Value | 1,761 | 1,236 | 7,871 | 17,462 | 17,575 | 8,533 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 63 | 33 | 190 | 68 | 390 | 81 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | |
(-) Debt | (927) | (376) | (477) | (1,896) | (3,224) | (566) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (234) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 897 | 894 | 7,584 | 15,634 | 14,507 | 8,083 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.7 | 21.5 | 41.8 | 42.7 | 209.4 | 43.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 19.63 | 41.52 | 181.31 | 366.57 | 69.29 | 186.86 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 19.63 | 41.52 | 181.31 | 366.57 | 69.29 | 161.00 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |