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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,1x | 0,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,1x - 0,1x | 0,1x |
| Fair Value | €2,60 - €2,76 | €2,68 |
| Upside | 54,3% - 64,0% | 59,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc | A5SA | DB:A5SA |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft | BMW | DB:BMW |
| Volkswagen AG | VOWI | WBAG:VOWI |
| Renault SA | RNO | ENXTPA:RNO |
| Ford Motor Company | FMC1 | DB:FMC1 |
| Volvo Car AB (publ.) | 8JO1 | DB:8JO1 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| A5SA | BMW | VOWI | RNO | FMC1 | 8JO1 | |||
| DB:A5SA | DB:BMW | WBAG:VOWI | ENXTPA:RNO | DB:FMC1 | DB:8JO1 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 7.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 13.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.0% | -8.4% | 0.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -11.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -5.0% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 6.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 6.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 6.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.10x | 0.99x | 0.78x | 0.79x | 0.89x | 0.05x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -20.5x | 12.5x | 11.1x | 10.7x | 31.7x | 0.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.39x | 0.32x | 0.15x | 0.22x | 0.21x | 0.14x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.78x | 0.89x | 1.10x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.05x | 0.25x | 0.76x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.13x | 0.14x | 0.15x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 400,234 | 400,234 | 400,234 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 52,768 | 55,546 | 58,323 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 34,091 | 34,091 | 34,091 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 86,859 | 89,637 | 92,414 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,974.5 | 2,974.5 | 2,974.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 29.20 | 30.13 | 31.07 | |||||
| FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.67 | 2.76 | 2.84 | 1.69 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 58.6% | 63.6% | 68.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | A5SA | BMW | VOWI | RNO | FMC1 | 8JO1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,752 | 142,073 | 253,895 | 44,598 | 164,394 | 20,686 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 360 | 16,184 | 47,199 | 23,075 | 28,370 | 56,373 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 51 | 1,652 | 16,000 | 17,070 | 6,691 | 21,751 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,522) | (111,261) | (254,081) | (71,690) | (160,862) | (39,295) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (13) | (2,688) | (14,437) | (793) | (23) | (4,738) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 628 | 45,960 | 48,576 | 12,260 | 38,570 | 54,777 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 936.3 | 622.3 | 501.3 | 272.7 | 3,976.5 | 2,974.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.67 | 73.86 | 96.90 | 44.95 | 9.70 | 18.42 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 10.93 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.78 | 73.86 | 96.90 | 44.95 | 8.52 | 1.69 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 10.93 | |