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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,7x - 6,3x | 6,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,4x - 4,8x | 4,6x |
| Fair Value | €0,32 - €0,45 | €0,39 |
| Upside | -34,0% - -6,0% | -20,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft | LNZN.F | OTCPK:LNZN.F |
| Carbios SAS | ALCRB | ENXTPA:ALCRB |
| Toray Industries, Inc. | TRYI.F | OTCPK:TRYI.F |
| DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | DD * | BMV:DD* |
| Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V. | CYDSASA A | BMV:CYDSASAA |
| ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. | 27A | DB:27A |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LNZN.F | ALCRB | TRYI.F | DD * | CYDSASA A | 27A | ||
| OTCPK:LNZN.F | ENXTPA:ALCRB | OTCPK:TRYI.F | BMV:DD* | BMV:CYDSASAA | DB:27A | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.3% | NM- | -2.0% | -2.3% | 6.1% | -2.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.6% | NM- | 3.7% | 0.6% | 10.4% | -22.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 57.2% | -22.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | -5.2% | 34.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.7% | -21888.1% | 10.2% | 24.0% | 26.1% | 10.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.0% | -100062.5% | 9.3% | 23.6% | 29.0% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.7% | -21616.2% | 10.0% | 24.8% | 25.9% | 7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.7% | -21616.2% | 10.0% | 25.4% | 25.9% | 7.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.12x | 222.02x | 0.71x | 2.74x | 1.53x | 0.48x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | -1.0x | 7.1x | 10.8x | 5.9x | 6.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.7x | -0.8x | 14.2x | 17.3x | 8.9x | 10.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -1.0x | 7.1x | 10.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.4x | 5.8x | 7.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.7x | 6.0x | 6.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 10,073 | 10,073 | 10,073 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 57,481 | 60,507 | 63,532 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (44,008) | (44,008) | (44,008) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,474 | 16,499 | 19,525 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,100.9 | 2,100.9 | 2,100.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.41 | 7.85 | 9.29 | ||||
| FX Rate: MXN/EUR | 21.7 | 21.7 | 21.7 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.48 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -38.8% | -25.0% | -11.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LNZN.F | ALCRB | TRYI.F | DD * | CYDSASA A | 27A | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,986 | 30 | 1,799,690 | 34,278 | 22,691 | 66,012 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 429 | 93 | 237,295 | 1,762 | 2,420 | 6,605 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 83 | 22 | 448,003 | 1,071 | 254 | 63 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,076) | (46) | (842,659) | (7,705) | (15,017) | (45,177) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (352) | 0 | (111,588) | (434) | (518) | (5,498) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,071 | 99 | 1,530,741 | 28,972 | 9,830 | 22,005 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 38.6 | 16.8 | 1,545.9 | 418.5 | 531.4 | 2,100.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.73 | 5.91 | 990.19 | 69.23 | 18.50 | 10.47 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.89 | 1.00 | 144.76 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 21.73 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.17 | 5.91 | 6.84 | 1,338.00 | 18.50 | 0.48 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EUR | USD | MXN | MXN | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.89 | 1.00 | 144.76 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 21.73 | |