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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,7x - 6,3x | 6,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,5x - 5,0x | 4,8x |
| Fair Value | €0,32 - €0,46 | €0,39 |
| Upside | -35,3% - -8,4% | -21,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft | LNZN.F | OTCPK:LNZN.F |
| Carbios SAS | ALCRB | ENXTPA:ALCRB |
| Toray Industries, Inc. | TRYI.F | OTCPK:TRYI.F |
| DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | DD * | BMV:DD* |
| Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V. | CYDSASA A | BMV:CYDSASAA |
| ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. | 27A | DB:27A |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LNZN.F | ALCRB | TRYI.F | DD * | CYDSASA A | 27A | ||
| OTCPK:LNZN.F | ENXTPA:ALCRB | OTCPK:TRYI.F | BMV:DD* | BMV:CYDSASAA | DB:27A | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.3% | NM- | 0.6% | -2.3% | 6.1% | -2.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.6% | NM- | 0.5% | 0.6% | 10.4% | -22.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 57.2% | -27.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 34.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.7% | -21984.3% | 10.2% | 24.0% | 26.1% | 10.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.0% | -100062.5% | 9.3% | 23.6% | 29.0% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.7% | -22555.9% | 10.0% | 24.8% | 26.5% | 7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.7% | -22555.9% | 10.0% | 25.4% | 25.8% | 7.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.09x | 473.90x | 0.71x | 2.66x | 1.47x | 0.48x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | -2.1x | 7.1x | 10.5x | 5.7x | 6.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.0x | -1.7x | 14.2x | 16.8x | 8.4x | 10.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.1x | 6.9x | 10.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.4x | 5.8x | 7.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.7x | 6.0x | 6.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 10,073 | 10,073 | 10,073 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 56,961 | 59,959 | 62,957 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (44,008) | (44,008) | (44,008) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,954 | 15,952 | 18,950 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,100.9 | 2,100.9 | 2,100.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.17 | 7.59 | 9.02 | ||||
| FX Rate: MXN/EUR | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.50 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -44.0% | -31.0% | -18.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LNZN.F | ALCRB | TRYI.F | DD * | CYDSASA A | 27A | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,976 | 64 | 1,830,368 | 34,001 | 23,028 | 67,142 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 429 | 90 | 237,295 | 1,762 | 2,144 | 6,605 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 83 | 22 | 448,003 | 1,071 | 271 | 63 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,076) | (46) | (842,659) | (7,705) | (15,137) | (45,177) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (352) | 0 | (111,588) | (434) | (507) | (5,498) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,060 | 130 | 1,561,419 | 28,695 | 9,799 | 23,134 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 38.6 | 16.8 | 1,545.9 | 418.5 | 531.4 | 2,100.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.46 | 7.75 | 1,010.03 | 68.57 | 18.44 | 11.01 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.88 | 1.00 | 143.88 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 22.02 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.17 | 7.75 | 7.02 | 1,330.07 | 18.44 | 0.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EUR | USD | MXN | MXN | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.88 | 1.00 | 143.88 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 22.02 | |