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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,2x - 9,1x | 8,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,1x - 6,8x | 6,5x |
| Fair Value | €0,25 - €0,36 | €0,30 |
| Upside | -44,3% - -18,0% | -31,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft | LNZN.F | PINC:LNZN.F |
| Carbios SAS | ALCRB | ENXTPA:ALCRB |
| Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V. | CYDSASA A | BMV:CYDSASAA |
| Toray Industries, Inc. | TRYI.F | PINC:TRYI.F |
| DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | DD * | BMV:DD* |
| ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. | 27A | DB:27A |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LNZN.F | ALCRB | CYDSASA A | TRYI.F | DD * | 27A | ||
| PINC:LNZN.F | ENXTPA:ALCRB | BMV:CYDSASAA | PINC:TRYI.F | BMV:DD* | DB:27A | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -20.4% | NM- | 4.2% | -6.6% | -1.7% | -5.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -36.0% | NM- | 9.3% | 3.8% | -0.5% | -29.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 167.0% | -29.8% | -20.0% | 104.0% | 9.7% | 53.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | -26241.3% | 18.3% | 4.8% | 14.7% | 7.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -3.0% | -120362.5% | 22.7% | 3.7% | 14.1% | 3.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.9% | -27578.7% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 15.1% | 4.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.9% | -27578.7% | 17.1% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 4.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 416.03x | 1.47x | 0.67x | 2.62x | 0.44x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | -1.9x | 5.7x | 6.6x | 10.6x | 6.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 61.5x | -1.5x | 8.6x | 13.0x | 17.3x | 9.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1.5x | 13.0x | 61.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.8x | 9.0x | 11.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 8.6x | 9.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 6,203 | 6,203 | 6,203 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 50,965 | 53,647 | 56,330 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (40,044) | (40,044) | (40,044) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,921 | 13,603 | 16,286 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,101.3 | 2,101.3 | 2,101.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.20 | 6.47 | 7.75 | ||||
| FX Rate: MXN/EUR | 22.3 | 22.3 | 22.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.44 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -47.1% | -34.2% | -21.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LNZN.F | ALCRB | CYDSASA A | TRYI.F | DD * | 27A | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,172 | 57 | 21,894 | 1,680,554 | 40,486 | 60,703 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 454 | 93 | 2,420 | 239,375 | 1,850 | 6,605 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 32 | 22 | 254 | 484,116 | 1,081 | 111 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,108) | (46) | (15,017) | (925,822) | (7,577) | (41,262) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (342) | 0 | (518) | (114,180) | (443) | (5,498) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,207 | 126 | 9,033 | 1,364,043 | 35,397 | 20,659 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 42.8 | 16.8 | 531.4 | 1,722.8 | 418.5 | 2,101.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28.22 | 7.48 | 17.00 | 791.76 | 84.58 | 9.83 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 142.66 | 0.05 | 22.34 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 32.09 | 7.48 | 17.00 | 5.55 | 1,661.58 | 0.44 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EUR | MXN | USD | MXN | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.88 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 142.66 | 0.05 | 22.34 | |