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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 11,7x - 12,9x | 12,3x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,3x - 13,6x | 12,9x |
Fair Value | €0,064 - €0,10 | €0,084 |
Upside | -12,0% - 43,0% | 15,5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Sonae, SGPS, S.A. | YSON | DB:YSON |
Distribuidora Internacional de Alimentación, S.A. | DIA | BME:DIA |
Mediterra S.A. | MASTIHA | ATSE:MASTIHA |
Iceland Seafood International hf. | ICESEA | ICSE:ICESEA |
HelloFresh SE | HFG | DB:HFG |
Chris Joannou Public Ltd | CJ | CSE:CJ |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
YSON | DIA | MASTIHA | ICESEA | HFG | CJ | ||
DB:YSON | BME:DIA | ATSE:MASTIHA | ICSE:ICESEA | DB:HFG | CSE:CJ | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.3% | NM- | 18.4% | 3.3% | NM- | 15.0% | |
3Y CAGR | 7.1% | 20.1% | 13.9% | -5.6% | -35.0% | 16.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 39.5% | 54.0% | -1.6% | 67.5% | 67.8% | -14.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 6.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 6.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 6.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.37x | 0.35x | 0.76x | 0.45x | 0.20x | 0.76x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 7.8x | 13.5x | 9.0x | 11.3x | 12.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.5x | 15.2x | 15.5x | 10.7x | 59.4x | 27.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 9.0x | 13.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.5x | 16.9x | 65.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.7x | 12.3x | 12.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3) | (3) | (3) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.10 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.07 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.3% | 7.8% | 34.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | YSON | DIA | MASTIHA | ICESEA | HFG | CJ | |
Enterprise Value | 4,084 | 2,088 | 12 | 212 | 1,462 | 4 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 343 | 2 | 17 | 428 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2,082 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (3,677) | (953) | (3) | (120) | (742) | (3) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (2) | 3 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,489 | 1,477 | 11 | 107 | 1,151 | 1 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,938.3 | 58.1 | 7.3 | 3,064.5 | 154.4 | 10.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.28 | 25.45 | 1.57 | 0.03 | 7.46 | 0.07 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.28 | 25.45 | 1.57 | 5.00 | 7.46 | 0.07 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | ISK | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.00 |