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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,5x - 0,6x | 0,5x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,6x - 0,7x | 0,7x |
Fair Value | kr14.241 - kr15.554 | kr14.897 |
Upside | 17,6% - 28,5% | 23,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Matson, Inc. | 68M | DB:68M |
Navios Maritime Partners L.P. | NMM | NYSE:NMM |
Costamare Inc. | LCM | DB:LCM |
Danaos Corporation | DVW1 | DB:DVW1 |
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | 2SV | DB:2SV |
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S | MAERSK B | CPSE:MAERSKB |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
68M | NMM | LCM | DVW1 | 2SV | MAERSK B | |||
DB:68M | NYSE:NMM | DB:LCM | DB:DVW1 | DB:2SV | CPSE:MAERSKB | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.2% | 43.5% | 34.2% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 7.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | -4.5% | 23.2% | 38.0% | 13.7% | -7.7% | -3.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 11.9% | 0.3% | 18.2% | 3.1% | 65.8% | 14.7% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 18.7% | 31.7% | 37.0% | 53.5% | 28.0% | 19.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.2% | 33.3% | 23.6% | 59.4% | -8.7% | 6.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.4% | 32.9% | 22.3% | 52.4% | 29.5% | 10.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.2% | 31.8% | 22.9% | 50.4% | 31.4% | 12.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.22x | 2.41x | 1.17x | 1.81x | 0.49x | 0.45x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 7.1x | 7.6x | 5.1x | 3.6x | 1.6x | 3.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.08x | 0.87x | 0.54x | 1.58x | 0.22x | 0.53x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 1.22x | 2.41x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.35x | 0.41x | 1.42x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.50x | 0.53x | 0.55x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 56,448 | 56,448 | 56,448 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 28,200 | 29,684 | 31,168 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 4,228 | 4,228 | 4,228 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 32,428 | 33,912 | 35,396 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2,128.68 | 2,226.11 | 2,323.53 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/DKK | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13,509.67 | 14,128.00 | 14,746.33 | 12,105.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 11.6% | 16.7% | 21.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 68M | NMM | LCM | DVW1 | 2SV | MAERSK B | |
Enterprise Value | 4,197 | 3,169 | 2,368 | 1,807 | 4,364 | 24,828 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 122 | 342 | 817 | 544 | 2,312 | 22,313 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 91 | 0 | 215 | 0 | 1,131 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (706) | (2,376) | (2,278) | (770) | (5,878) | (17,039) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (57) | 0 | (6) | (1,046) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,704 | 1,136 | 1,065 | 1,581 | 1,922 | 29,056 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 32.6 | 29.8 | 120.1 | 18.6 | 120.5 | 15.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 113.46 | 38.10 | 8.87 | 85.13 | 15.96 | 1,907.35 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 96.50 | 38.10 | 7.54 | 72.40 | 13.57 | 12,105.00 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | USD | EUR | EUR | EUR | DKK | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 0.16 |