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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,7x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | kr16.376 - kr18.052 | kr17.214 |
| Upside | 11,6% - 23,1% | 17,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Matson, Inc. | 68M | DB:68M |
| Navios Maritime Partners L.P. | NMM | NYSE:NMM |
| Costamare Inc. | LCM | DB:LCM |
| Danaos Corporation | DVW1 | DB:DVW1 |
| ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | 2SV | DB:2SV |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S | MAERSK B | CPSE:MAERSKB |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 68M | NMM | LCM | DVW1 | 2SV | MAERSK B | |||
| DB:68M | NYSE:NMM | DB:LCM | DB:DVW1 | DB:2SV | CPSE:MAERSKB | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.2% | 43.5% | 34.2% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 7.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -4.5% | 23.2% | 38.0% | 13.7% | -7.7% | -3.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | 0.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 65.8% | 15.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.3% | 31.7% | 36.0% | 53.8% | 28.0% | 19.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.2% | 33.3% | 23.6% | 59.4% | -8.7% | 6.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.4% | 32.9% | 22.3% | 52.4% | 29.5% | 10.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 31.8% | 21.8% | 48.9% | 31.4% | 12.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.14x | 2.54x | 1.02x | 1.78x | 0.52x | 0.59x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 8.0x | 4.7x | 3.6x | 1.6x | 4.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.99x | 1.00x | 0.61x | 1.68x | 0.24x | 0.60x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 1.14x | 2.54x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 0.41x | 1.42x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.69x | 0.72x | 0.76x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 56,807 | 56,807 | 56,807 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 39,101 | 41,159 | 43,217 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,077 | 1,077 | 1,077 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 40,178 | 42,236 | 44,294 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15.1 | 15.1 | 15.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,657.11 | 2,793.21 | 2,929.31 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/DKK | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16,984.13 | 17,854.07 | 18,724.01 | 14,670.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 15.8% | 21.7% | 27.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 68M | NMM | LCM | DVW1 | 2SV | MAERSK B | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,792 | 3,350 | 2,113 | 1,844 | 4,565 | 33,627 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 59 | 342 | 511 | 654 | 2,312 | 19,853 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 98 | 0 | 305 | 0 | 1,131 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (665) | (2,376) | (1,589) | (761) | (5,878) | (17,690) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (71) | 0 | (6) | (1,086) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,284 | 1,316 | 1,270 | 1,736 | 2,123 | 34,704 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.8 | 29.8 | 120.1 | 18.3 | 120.5 | 15.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 103.30 | 44.15 | 10.57 | 94.84 | 17.63 | 2,295.07 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 88.50 | 44.15 | 9.06 | 81.25 | 15.10 | 14,670.00 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | USD | EUR | EUR | EUR | DKK | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0.16 | |