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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,2x - 15,7x | 14,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11,4x - 12,6x | 12,0x |
Fair Value | kr470,84 - kr522,01 | kr496,43 |
Upside | 23,1% - 36,4% | 29,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Sulzer Ltd | SUN | SWX:SUN |
Sandvik AB (publ) | SAND | OM:SAND |
Dover Corporation | DOV | DB:DOV |
Terex Corporation | TXG | DB:TXG |
Trelleborg AB (publ) | TREL B | OM:TRELB |
FLSmidth & Co. A/S | FLS | CPSE:FLS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
SUN | SAND | DOV | TXG | TREL B | FLS | ||
SWX:SUN | OM:SAND | DB:DOV | DB:TXG | OM:TRELB | CPSE:FLS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 7.5% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | |
3Y CAGR | 18.9% | 2.6% | -0.5% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 33.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | -32.6% | 1.3% | 64.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.7% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 4.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 4.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 10.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 8.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 10.9% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 9.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.35x | 2.46x | 3.46x | 1.09x | 2.55x | 1.14x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 11.1x | 16.1x | 10.2x | 12.5x | 9.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 13.7x | 20.2x | 12.8x | 16.0x | 11.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 13.7x | 20.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 15.0x | 17.4x | 23.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 14.9x | 15.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,966 | 1,966 | 1,966 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 27,903 | 29,372 | 30,840 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (872) | (872) | (872) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 27,031 | 28,500 | 29,968 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 57.1 | 57.1 | 57.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 473.54 | 499.27 | 525.00 | ||||
FX Rate: DKK/DKK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 473.54 | 499.27 | 525.00 | 382.60 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 23.8% | 30.5% | 37.2% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SUN | SAND | DOV | TXG | TREL B | FLS | |
Enterprise Value | 4,774 | 302,833 | 26,148 | 5,451 | 88,667 | 22,712 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,062 | 4,965 | 1,805 | 298 | 1,918 | 859 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 83 | 9,894 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 91 | |
(-) Debt | (1,162) | (46,171) | (2,973) | (2,586) | (8,903) | (1,837) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (12) | (72) | 0 | 0 | (4) | 15 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,746 | 271,449 | 24,980 | 3,163 | 81,735 | 21,840 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 33.8 | 1,254.4 | 137.1 | 65.6 | 228.2 | 57.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 140.60 | 216.40 | 182.20 | 48.22 | 358.10 | 382.60 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 140.60 | 216.40 | 154.85 | 40.98 | 358.10 | 382.60 | |
Trading Currency | CHF | SEK | EUR | EUR | SEK | DKK | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.00 | 1.00 |