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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,7x - 9,6x | 9,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 3,2x - 3,6x | 3,4x |
| Fair Value | EGP 1,62 - EGP 1,85 | EGP 1,73 |
| Upside | 30,8% - 49,0% | 39,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Medical Packaging Company | MEPA | CASE:MEPA |
| Middle East Glass Manufacturing Company S.A.E. | MEGM | CASE:MEGM |
| Delta Co. For Printing & Packaging S.A.E | DTPP | CASE:DTPP |
| Misr Cement (Qena) Company (S.A.E) | MCQE | CASE:MCQE |
| Envases del Pacifico S.A. | EDELPA | SNSE:EDELPA |
| Universal For Paper and Packaging Materials | UNIP | CASE:UNIP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | MCQE | EDELPA | UNIP | ||
| CASE:MEPA | CASE:MEGM | CASE:DTPP | CASE:MCQE | SNSE:EDELPA | CASE:UNIP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 42.4% | 48.5% | 33.6% | 13.9% | NM- | 27.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 53.7% | 76.6% | 65.5% | 21.2% | NM- | 54.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -38.0% | 14.7% | 64.7% | 201.8% | -135.8% | 44.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 23.9% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 8.9% | -2.6% | 9.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 38.9% | 38.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 10.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.9% | 36.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | -0.5% | 12.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.2% | 34.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | -1.6% | 11.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.58x | 0.61x | 0.71x | 0.85x | 0.57x | 0.91x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.5x | 1.5x | 3.8x | 5.1x | 26.0x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.0x | 1.8x | 4.2x | 5.9x | -34.6x | 7.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -34.6x | 4.2x | 24.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.4x | 10.7x | 21.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 9.2x | 9.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 178 | 178 | 178 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,552 | 1,633 | 1,715 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (396) | (396) | (396) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,155 | 1,237 | 1,319 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 763.8 | 763.8 | 763.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.51 | 1.62 | 1.73 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.51 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.24 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 22.0% | 30.6% | 39.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | MCQE | EDELPA | UNIP | |
| Enterprise Value | 738 | 3,446 | 544 | 5,413 | 30,103 | 1,343 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 77 | 881 | 136 | 659 | 965 | 85 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 117 | |
| (-) Debt | (2) | (3,542) | (255) | (452) | (5,648) | (598) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (551) | (0) | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 812 | 785 | 425 | 5,088 | 25,419 | 947 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 655.0 | 62.6 | 5.6 | 96.0 | 847.3 | 763.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.24 | 12.54 | 75.92 | 53.00 | 30.00 | 1.24 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.24 | 12.54 | 75.92 | 53.00 | 30.00 | 1.24 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | CLP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |