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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 58,9x - 65,1x | 62,0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 46,8x - 51,7x | 49,3x |
| Fair Value | EGP 5,08 - EGP 5,60 | EGP 5,34 |
| Upside | -46,9% - -41,5% | -44,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| International Company for Agricultural Crops | IFAP | CASE:IFAP |
| Cairo Oil & Soap Company | COSG | CASE:COSG |
| Arabian Food Industries Company (DOMTY) - S.A.E | DOMT | CASE:DOMT |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
| Cairo Poultry Company S.A.E. | POUL | CASE:POUL |
| Sharkia National Company for Food Security | SNFC | CASE:SNFC |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| IFAP | COSG | DOMT | ZEOT | POUL | SNFC | |||
| CASE:IFAP | CASE:COSG | CASE:DOMT | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:POUL | CASE:SNFC | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 33.1% | 67.4% | 28.2% | 9.3% | 28.0% | -13.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 57.3% | 189.1% | 40.0% | 25.0% | 43.6% | -1.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | -10.5% | 6.0% | -15.9% | 21.9% | -43.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.5% | -43.5% | 9.1% | 0.2% | 12.8% | -23.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 0.5% | 19.4% | -27.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 0.1% | 20.5% | -14.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 21.9% | -3.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.63x | 1.30x | 0.93x | 0.33x | 0.51x | 113.10x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 163.7x | 34.1x | 9.8x | -1175.7x | 2.3x | -3564.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.59x | 1.01x | 0.68x | 0.33x | 0.70x | 114.42x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.33x | 0.93x | 2.63x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.19x | 6.43x | 48.05x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 58.95x | 62.05x | 65.15x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 808 | 851 | 893 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 833 | 875 | 918 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 163.9 | 163.9 | 163.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.08 | 5.34 | 5.60 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.08 | 5.34 | 5.60 | 9.57 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -46.9% | -44.2% | -41.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | IFAP | COSG | DOMT | ZEOT | POUL | SNFC | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,563 | 1,202 | 8,474 | 1,093 | 8,142 | 1,544 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 382 | 6 | 271 | 27 | 3,332 | 18 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,324 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (506) | (272) | (2,553) | (31) | (244) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (174) | 0 | (0) | 0 | (89) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,589 | 936 | 6,192 | 1,090 | 11,142 | 1,569 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 380.0 | 624.0 | 282.6 | 200.0 | 479.0 | 163.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 19.97 | 1.50 | 21.91 | 5.45 | 23.26 | 9.57 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 19.97 | 1.50 | 21.91 | 5.45 | 23.26 | 9.57 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |