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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,5x - 16,0x | 15,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,7x - 6,3x | 6,0x |
| Fair Value | EGP 18,16 - EGP 23,47 | EGP 20,82 |
| Upside | 2,2% - 32,1% | 17,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Misr Hotels Company | MHOT | CASE:MHOT |
| Trans Oceans Tours | TRTO | CASE:TRTO |
| Remco Tourism Villages Construction | RTVC | CASE:RTVC |
| Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | PHTV | CASE:PHTV |
| El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | ELWA | CASE:ELWA |
| SHARM DREAMS Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E | SDTI | CASE:SDTI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MHOT | TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ELWA | SDTI | ||
| CASE:MHOT | CASE:TRTO | CASE:RTVC | CASE:PHTV | CASE:ELWA | CASE:SDTI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.8% | 32.8% | 26.4% | 67.6% | 14.5% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 103.1% | 96.0% | 106.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 47.9% | 138.4% | 690.6% | 136.0% | -256.3% | 119.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 128.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | -23.8% | -16.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 86.1% | 26.7% | -35.8% | 35.9% | -1.1% | 48.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 89.1% | 45.6% | 37.1% | 38.2% | 15.1% | 66.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 91.0% | 40.1% | 37.1% | 40.7% | -108.4% | 66.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.84x | 5.27x | 0.07x | 0.87x | 24.66x | 9.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.1x | 10.9x | 0.2x | 2.1x | -30.8x | 13.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.3x | 13.2x | 0.2x | 2.1x | -22.7x | 14.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -22.7x | 2.1x | 13.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -31.0x | 18.5x | 1156.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.5x | 15.2x | 16.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 181 | 181 | 181 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,615 | 2,752 | 2,890 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,710) | (1,710) | (1,710) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 905 | 1,043 | 1,180 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 53.0 | 53.0 | 53.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 17.08 | 19.68 | 22.27 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.08 | 19.68 | 22.27 | 17.77 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -3.9% | 10.7% | 25.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MHOT | TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ELWA | SDTI | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,951 | 147 | 421 | 2,065 | (13) | 2,651 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,112 | 31 | 68 | 1,167 | 58 | 12 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10 | 0 | 1,228 | 0 | 192 | 37 | |
| (-) Debt | (72) | 0 | (857) | (87) | (1) | (1,759) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 14 | (80) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 11,001 | 177 | 874 | 3,065 | 237 | 942 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 100.0 | 246.8 | 27.4 | 182.0 | 53.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.78 | 1.77 | 3.54 | 111.71 | 1.30 | 17.77 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 49.06 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27.78 | 0.04 | 3.54 | 111.71 | 1.30 | 17.77 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 49.06 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |