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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 4,2x - 4,7x | 4,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4,9x - 5,4x | 5,2x |
| Fair Value | EGP 23,20 - EGP 25,10 | EGP 24,15 |
| Upside | -18,1% - -11,4% | -14,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| SHARM DREAMS Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E | SDTI | CASE:SDTI |
| Trans Oceans Tours | TRTO | CASE:TRTO |
| Rowad Tourism Company | ROTO | CASE:ROTO |
| Remco Tourism Villages Construction | RTVC | CASE:RTVC |
| Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | PHTV | CASE:PHTV |
| Misr Hotels Company | MHOT | CASE:MHOT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SDTI | TRTO | ROTO | RTVC | PHTV | MHOT | ||
| CASE:SDTI | CASE:TRTO | CASE:ROTO | CASE:RTVC | CASE:PHTV | CASE:MHOT | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 32.8% | NM- | 26.4% | 67.6% | 27.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 103.1% | NM- | 96.0% | 106.9% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 119.4% | 138.4% | 32.1% | 690.6% | 136.0% | 47.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -16.8% | 5.9% | -135.7% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 128.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 48.8% | 26.7% | -23.7% | -35.8% | 35.9% | 86.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 66.2% | 45.6% | -6.7% | 37.1% | 38.2% | 89.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 66.2% | 40.1% | -6.7% | 37.1% | 40.7% | 91.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 9.77x | 5.31x | 5.65x | 0.07x | 0.86x | 4.96x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.0x | 11.0x | 144.9x | 0.2x | 2.0x | 5.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | 13.3x | -84.4x | 0.2x | 2.1x | 5.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -84.4x | 2.1x | 14.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -14.1x | 4.8x | 8.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 4.2x | 4.5x | 4.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,685 | 1,685 | 1,685 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,163 | 7,540 | 7,917 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,050 | 2,050 | 2,050 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,212 | 9,589 | 9,966 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 23.26 | 24.22 | 25.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.26 | 24.22 | 25.17 | 28.34 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -17.9% | -14.6% | -11.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SDTI | TRTO | ROTO | RTVC | PHTV | MHOT | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,659 | 148 | 616 | 396 | 2,025 | 9,173 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12 | 31 | 6 | 68 | 1,167 | 2,112 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 37 | 0 | 0 | 1,228 | 0 | 10 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,759) | 0 | (98) | (857) | (87) | (72) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | (77) | 14 | (80) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 949 | 178 | 447 | 849 | 3,025 | 11,223 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 53.0 | 100.0 | 17.3 | 246.8 | 27.4 | 396.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 17.91 | 1.78 | 25.82 | 3.44 | 110.23 | 28.34 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 49.41 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 17.91 | 0.04 | 25.82 | 3.44 | 110.23 | 28.34 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 49.41 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |