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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 2,5x - 2,8x | 2,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2,0x - 2,2x | 2,1x |
| Fair Value | EGP 8,22 - EGP 8,51 | EGP 8,37 |
| Upside | -1,8% - 1,7% | -0,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Talaat Moustafa Group Holding | TMGH | CASE:TMGH |
| Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | HELI | CASE:HELI |
| Palm Hills Developments S.A.E. | PHDC | CASE:PHDC |
| Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) | OCDI | CASE:OCDI |
| Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
| Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.) | EMFD | CASE:EMFD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TMGH | HELI | PHDC | OCDI | MASR | EMFD | ||
| CASE:TMGH | CASE:HELI | CASE:PHDC | CASE:OCDI | CASE:MASR | CASE:EMFD | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.3% | 5.9% | 32.4% | 36.0% | 24.3% | 73.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 45.9% | 92.8% | 63.6% | 40.7% | 99.6% | 20.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 69.5% | -90.8% | 70.3% | 83.7% | 24.9% | 38.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.5% | 58.9% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 35.1% | 30.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.4% | 68.0% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 37.7% | 34.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 27.6% | 92.7% | 20.7% | 33.2% | 45.2% | 37.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.6% | 92.7% | 20.7% | 33.2% | 45.2% | 37.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.08x | 10.03x | 0.87x | 2.39x | 1.26x | 0.83x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.2x | 10.7x | 4.0x | 6.9x | 2.8x | 2.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.2x | 10.8x | 4.2x | 7.2x | 2.8x | 2.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.8x | 7.2x | 11.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -0.2x | 0.8x | 2.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 2.5x | 2.7x | 2.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7,151 | 7,151 | 7,151 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 18,160 | 19,116 | 20,071 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 29,869 | 29,869 | 29,869 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 48,028 | 48,984 | 49,940 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,446.9 | 5,446.9 | 5,446.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.82 | 8.99 | 9.17 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.82 | 8.99 | 9.17 | 8.37 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TMGH | HELI | PHDC | OCDI | MASR | EMFD | |
| Enterprise Value | 131,424 | 10,585 | 23,628 | 23,292 | 10,681 | 15,722 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 55,896 | 4,858 | 12,689 | 3,405 | 3,548 | 34,134 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 6,815 | 0 | 3,379 | 0 | 9 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (30,250) | (611) | (19,929) | (4,246) | (3,984) | (4,265) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (60,726) | 0 | (702) | (63) | (135) | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 103,157 | 14,833 | 19,065 | 22,387 | 10,120 | 45,591 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,063.6 | 1,335.1 | 2,879.9 | 356.2 | 2,135.0 | 5,446.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 49.99 | 11.11 | 6.62 | 62.85 | 4.74 | 8.37 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 49.99 | 11.11 | 6.62 | 62.85 | 4.74 | 8.37 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |