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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 5,6x - 6,2x | 5,9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 4,8x - 5,4x | 5,1x |
| Fair Value | EGP 144,36 - EGP 159,37 | EGP 151,86 |
| Upside | -48,4% - -43,0% | -45,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| El-Ebour Co. for Real Estate Investment S.A.E. | OBRI | CASE:OBRI |
| United Co. for Housing & Development - S.A.E. | UNIT | CASE:UNIT |
| Gharbia Islamic Housing Development Company | GIHD | CASE:GIHD |
| Amer Group Holding Company S.A.E. | AMER | CASE:AMER |
| Egyptians for investment & Urban development | EIUD | CASE:EIUD |
| Arab Company For Land Reclamation | EALR | CASE:EALR |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| OBRI | UNIT | GIHD | AMER | EIUD | EALR | |||
| CASE:OBRI | CASE:UNIT | CASE:GIHD | CASE:AMER | CASE:EIUD | CASE:EALR | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 47.8% | 20.8% | -25.5% | -1.1% | 30.3% | -4.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 65.1% | 41.7% | NM- | 0.9% | 53.5% | 14.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 74.0% | -43.9% | 128.3% | 32.9% | -34.4% | -18.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.6% | 53.8% | 33.7% | 10.6% | -46.2% | -4.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 57.6% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.3% | 60.2% | -77.8% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 2.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.5% | 84.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 1.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 7.32x | 55.51x | 1.63x | 19.38x | 10.98x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.4x | 8.7x | 233.6x | 8.7x | 93.6x | 811.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.89x | 8.73x | 58.62x | 0.76x | 21.78x | 11.02x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.42x | 7.32x | 55.51x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.38x | 0.63x | 2.05x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 5.64x | 5.93x | 6.23x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 132 | 132 | 132 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 744 | 783 | 822 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 9 | 9 | 9 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 753 | 792 | 831 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 144.78 | 152.31 | 159.84 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 144.78 | 152.31 | 159.84 | 279.61 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -48.2% | -45.5% | -42.8% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | OBRI | UNIT | GIHD | AMER | EIUD | EALR | |
| Enterprise Value | 316 | 2,208 | 228 | 2,385 | 347 | 1,445 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 411 | 714 | 13 | 349 | 43 | 10 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| (-) Debt | (51) | (417) | 0 | (1,430) | 0 | (5) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | (185) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 676 | 2,632 | 241 | 1,119 | 390 | 1,454 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40.0 | 231.9 | 5.6 | 902.8 | 1,636.4 | 5.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 16.90 | 11.35 | 42.83 | 1.24 | 0.24 | 279.61 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.90 | 11.35 | 42.83 | 1.24 | 0.24 | 279.61 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |