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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,0x - 1,1x | 1,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,8x - 0,9x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | EGP 3,25 - EGP 3,92 | EGP 3,59 |
| Upside | 19,0% - 43,7% | 31,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Delta Sugar Company | SUGR | CASE:SUGR |
| Juhayna Food Industries S.A.E. | JUFO | CASE:JUFO |
| Egypt for Poultry | EPCO | CASE:EPCO |
| AJWA For Food Industries Co. Egypt | AJWA | CASE:AJWA |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
| The Arab Dairy Products Co. | ADPC | CASE:ADPC |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| SUGR | JUFO | EPCO | AJWA | ZEOT | ADPC | |||
| CASE:SUGR | CASE:JUFO | CASE:EPCO | CASE:AJWA | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:ADPC | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.3% | 26.1% | 33.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 19.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 24.2% | 40.3% | 63.5% | 10.9% | 25.0% | 35.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.5% | 56.4% | -57.7% | -17.5% | -15.9% | 41.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.2% | 11.6% | -923.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 6.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.6% | 11.5% | -54.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 12.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 18.9% | -152.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 11.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.7% | 18.9% | -142.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 11.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 1.06x | 21.28x | 1.61x | 0.19x | 0.96x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 3.9x | 5.6x | -14.9x | 25.1x | -691.9x | 8.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.85x | 0.97x | 24.04x | 1.35x | 0.19x | 0.44x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.19x | 1.06x | 21.28x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.71x | 0.96x | 1.93x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.03x | 1.08x | 1.14x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 3,083 | 3,083 | 3,083 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,174 | 3,341 | 3,509 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,586) | (1,586) | (1,586) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,589 | 1,756 | 1,923 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 500.0 | 500.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.18 | 3.51 | 3.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.18 | 3.51 | 3.85 | 2.73 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.4% | 28.6% | 40.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUGR | JUFO | EPCO | AJWA | ZEOT | ADPC | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,428 | 25,712 | 174 | 2,634 | 643 | 2,951 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 920 | 1,811 | 3 | 458 | 27 | 53 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 343 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (102) | (3,911) | 0 | (207) | (31) | (1,630) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | (0) | (669) | 0 | (9) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,589 | 23,629 | 196 | 2,229 | 640 | 1,365 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.2 | 941.4 | 42.6 | 20.1 | 200.0 | 500.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 46.34 | 25.10 | 4.61 | 110.93 | 3.20 | 2.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 46.34 | 25.10 | 4.61 | 110.93 | 3.20 | 2.73 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |