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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 1,2x - 1,3x | 1,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,1x |
| Fair Value | S/. 1,56 - S/. 1,68 | S/. 1,62 |
| Upside | 19,9% - 29,4% | 24,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Newmont Corporation | NEM | BVL:NEM |
| Glencore plc | GLN | JSE:GLN |
| Lundin Mining Corporation | LUN | TSX:LUN |
| Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V. | IPOA.F | OTCPK:IPOA.F |
| Zijin Mining Group Company Limited | ZIJM.F | OTCPK:ZIJM.F |
| Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. | NEXAPEC1 | BVL:NEXAPEC1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NEM | GLN | LUN | IPOA.F | ZIJM.F | NEXAPEC1 | ||
| BVL:NEM | JSE:GLN | TSX:LUN | OTCPK:IPOA.F | OTCPK:ZIJM.F | BVL:NEXAPEC1 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 18.6% | -0.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 31.3% | 17.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.8% | -15.0% | -6.7% | 3.6% | 19.6% | 1.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 164.7% | -29.7% | 45.9% | 232.3% | 43.4% | 74.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 38.5% | 7.4% | 37.6% | 23.0% | 14.5% | 30.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 25.9% | 6.4% | 34.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 25.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 47.4% | 4.3% | 39.0% | 27.9% | 18.3% | 37.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.1% | 4.3% | 40.1% | 32.3% | 19.6% | 38.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.25x | 0.33x | 3.25x | 1.92x | 2.05x | 0.36x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 7.6x | 8.1x | 5.9x | 10.5x | 0.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 22.5x | 13.1x | 8.9x | 12.5x | 1.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 7.6x | 10.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.1x | 1.5x | 15.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 347 | 347 | 347 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 405 | 427 | 448 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 136 | 136 | 136 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 541 | 562 | 583 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,271.6 | 1,271.6 | 1,271.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.46 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/PEN | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.63 | 1.30 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.4% | 21.0% | 25.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NEM | GLN | LUN | IPOA.F | ZIJM.F | NEXAPEC1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 61,977 | 73,750 | 11,677 | 13,352 | 697,354 | 329 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,716 | 2,565 | 342 | 2,108 | 46,312 | 171 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,856 | 9,808 | 10 | 238 | 57,785 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (7,986) | (38,946) | (2,101) | (3,350) | (153,930) | (39) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (183) | 5,009 | (1,137) | (1,444) | (39,764) | 3 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 63,380 | 52,186 | 8,790 | 10,903 | 607,756 | 464 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,100.9 | 11,897.2 | 856.0 | 397.5 | 29,310.4 | 1,271.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 57.57 | 4.39 | 10.27 | 27.43 | 20.74 | 0.37 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 7.17 | 0.28 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 57.57 | 77.07 | 13.97 | 27.43 | 2.89 | 1.30 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | ZAR | CAD | USD | USD | PEN | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 7.17 | 0.28 | |