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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 21,2x - 23,4x | 22,3x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,0x - 4,4x | 4,2x |
Fair Value | €6,63 - €9,50 | €8,07 |
Upside | -58,0% - -39,9% | -49,0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
AB Electrolux (publ) | ELRX.F | OTCPK:ELRX.F |
Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. | 600690 | SHSE:600690 |
Midea Group Co., Ltd. | 333 | SZSE:000333 |
Vestel Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi | VESTL | IBSE:VESTL |
Arzum Elektrikli Ev Aletleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | ARZUM | IBSE:ARZUM |
Arçelik Anonim Sirketi | RCAA | BST:RCAA |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ELRX.F | 600690 | 333 | VESTL | ARZUM | RCAA | ||
OTCPK:ELRX.F | SHSE:600690 | SZSE:000333 | IBSE:VESTL | IBSE:ARZUM | BST:RCAA | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -10.0% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 24.2% | 62.3% | 32.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -19.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 79.1% | 21.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1892.6% | 5.2% | 0.1% | -76.5% | -22.0% | -60.1% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.37x | 0.57x | 1.12x | 0.59x | 0.60x | 0.54x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 6.4x | 10.4x | 23.3x | 7.1x | 25.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 19.5x | 7.9x | 12.0x | -97.2x | 8.3x | -127.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.4x | 7.3x | 23.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 7.5x | 11.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.2x | 22.3x | 23.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 8,881 | 8,881 | 8,881 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 188,049 | 197,946 | 207,844 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (153,008) | (153,008) | (153,008) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 35,041 | 44,938 | 54,836 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 158.3 | 158.3 | 158.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 221.34 | 283.85 | 346.37 | ||||
FX Rate: TRY/EUR | 47.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.71 | 6.04 | 7.37 | 15.80 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -70.2% | -61.8% | -53.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ELRX.F | 600690 | 333 | VESTL | ARZUM | RCAA | |
Enterprise Value | 49,550 | 178,368 | 484,594 | 81,626 | 3,391 | 270,530 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 10,683 | 60,803 | 163,773 | 2,658 | 247 | 60,797 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 69 | 42,197 | 9,495 | 4,696 | 0 | 3,411 | |
(-) Debt | (42,629) | (34,788) | (96,147) | (68,109) | (2,078) | (210,987) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (7,471) | (11,802) | (8,164) | 0 | (6,229) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 17,668 | 239,109 | 549,913 | 12,707 | 1,560 | 117,522 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 270.5 | 9,322.0 | 7,644.1 | 335.5 | 300.0 | 158.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 65.32 | 25.65 | 71.94 | 37.88 | 5.20 | 742.33 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 9.62 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 46.98 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.79 | 25.65 | 71.94 | 37.88 | 5.20 | 15.80 | |
Trading Currency | USD | CNY | CNY | TRY | TRY | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 9.62 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 46.98 |