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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 19,4x - 21,4x | 20,4x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,6x - 10,6x | 10,1x |
Fair Value | ₹166,37 - ₹184,81 | ₹175,59 |
Upside | -25,6% - -17,3% | -21,4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Deccan Cements Limited | 502137 | BSE:502137 |
Udaipur Cement Works Limited | 530131 | BSE:530131 |
Shree Digvijay Cement Company Limited | 502180 | BSE:502180 |
J.K. Cement Limited | 532644 | BSE:532644 |
Prism Johnson Limited | 500338 | BSE:500338 |
Star Cement Limited | 540575 | BSE:540575 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
502137 | 530131 | 502180 | 532644 | 500338 | 540575 | ||
BSE:502137 | BSE:530131 | BSE:502180 | BSE:532644 | BSE:500338 | BSE:540575 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -0.7% | 36.0% | 40.7% | 19.4% | -7.2% | 4.1% | |
3Y CAGR | -18.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | -10.3% | 18.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -44.6% | -6.2% | -41.6% | 1.9% | -64.6% | -33.2% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.7% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 17.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 17.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 5.5% | 18.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 11.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.38x | 2.30x | 1.57x | 3.91x | 1.15x | 3.14x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 30.5x | 19.9x | 14.3x | 24.0x | 42.3x | 26.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 67.0x | 34.0x | 24.6x | 35.9x | -63.3x | 45.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.3x | 24.0x | 42.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.4x | 10.3x | 16.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.4x | 20.4x | 21.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 3,592 | 3,592 | 3,592 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 69,503 | 73,161 | 76,819 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,557) | (3,557) | (3,557) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 65,946 | 69,604 | 73,262 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 404.2 | 404.2 | 404.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 163.16 | 172.21 | 181.26 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 163.16 | 172.21 | 181.26 | 223.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -27.0% | -22.9% | -18.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 502137 | 530131 | 502180 | 532644 | 500338 | 540575 | |
Enterprise Value | 15,094 | 30,960 | 11,612 | 442,930 | 82,334 | 93,892 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,699 | 1,210 | 34 | 5,741 | 2,814 | 232 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (6,112) | (16,004) | (750) | (57,380) | (17,497) | (3,790) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 10,682 | 16,166 | 10,895 | 391,290 | 67,651 | 90,334 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 14.0 | 560.5 | 147.8 | 77.3 | 503.4 | 404.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 762.60 | 28.84 | 73.71 | 5,064.05 | 134.40 | 223.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 762.60 | 28.84 | 73.71 | 5,064.05 | 134.40 | 223.50 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |