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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 14,6x - 16,1x | 15,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,9x - 9,8x | 9,4x |
| Fair Value | ₹476,73 - ₹538,98 | ₹507,86 |
| Upside | -0,1% - 13,0% | 6,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ritco Logistics Limited | RITCO | NSEI:RITCO |
| Shreeji Translogistics Limited | 540738 | BSE:540738 |
| AVG Logistics Limited | AVG | NSEI:AVG |
| Chartered Logistics Limited | 531977 | BSE:531977 |
| Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited | OBCL | NSEI:OBCL |
| VRL Logistics Limited | 539118 | BSE:539118 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| RITCO | 540738 | AVG | 531977 | OBCL | 539118 | ||
| NSEI:RITCO | BSE:540738 | NSEI:AVG | BSE:531977 | NSEI:OBCL | BSE:539118 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.7% | 8.4% | 14.7% | -16.0% | -20.0% | 1.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 32.3% | 37.7% | 58.3% | -10.7% | -18.3% | 13.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 41.8% | -60.3% | 11.8% | 63.2% | 68.1% | 31.5% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 11.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 12.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 9.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.9% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 11.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.87x | 0.39x | 1.08x | 1.60x | 0.46x | 1.64x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.0x | 10.6x | 9.1x | 20.0x | 27.9x | 14.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.7x | 26.4x | 11.3x | 29.8x | 53.4x | 20.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 11.0x | 27.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 15.3x | 21.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.6x | 15.4x | 16.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,444 | 3,444 | 3,444 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 50,249 | 52,893 | 55,538 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (10,020) | (10,020) | (10,020) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 40,229 | 42,874 | 45,518 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 87.5 | 87.5 | 87.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 459.93 | 490.16 | 520.40 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 459.93 | 490.16 | 520.40 | 477.10 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -3.6% | 2.7% | 9.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | RITCO | 540738 | AVG | 531977 | OBCL | 539118 | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,761 | 997 | 5,838 | 1,279 | 1,474 | 51,751 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 62 | 131 | 82 | 43 | 21 | 250 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,328) | (439) | (2,141) | (280) | (396) | (10,270) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,496 | 689 | 3,779 | 1,041 | 1,099 | 41,731 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.3 | 69.9 | 15.1 | 120.2 | 21.1 | 87.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 264.65 | 9.86 | 251.00 | 8.66 | 52.13 | 477.10 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 264.65 | 9.86 | 251.00 | 8.66 | 52.13 | 477.10 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |