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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,1x - 13,4x | 12,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11,4x - 12,6x | 12,0x |
| Fair Value | ₹200,63 - ₹219,41 | ₹210,02 |
| Upside | 1,1% - 10,6% | 5,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Mahanagar Gas Limited | MGL | NSEI:MGL |
| GAIL (India) Limited | GAIL | NSEI:GAIL |
| Superior Plus Corp. | SPB | TSX:SPB |
| Union Gas Holdings Limited | 1F2 | SGX:1F2 |
| Osaka Gas Co., Ltd. | 9532 | TSE:9532 |
| Indraprastha Gas Limited | 532514 | BSE:532514 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MGL | GAIL | SPB | 1F2 | 9532 | 532514 | ||
| NSEI:MGL | NSEI:GAIL | TSX:SPB | SGX:1F2 | TSE:9532 | BSE:532514 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.4% | 6.8% | 0.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.6% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 11.4% | 17.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -16.2% | 42.7% | 2.8% | 20.6% | -26.3% | -15.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 29.3% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 20.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.4% | 5.0% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 14.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.9% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 21.9% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.78x | 0.99x | 1.38x | 0.93x | 0.74x | 1.79x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 9.1x | 7.8x | 4.4x | 5.8x | 13.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 11.6x | 16.7x | 8.2x | 11.4x | 17.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.4x | 7.8x | 9.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.1x | 13.1x | 25.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.1x | 12.8x | 13.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 19,305 | 19,305 | 19,305 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 234,055 | 246,373 | 258,692 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 31,089 | 31,089 | 31,089 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 265,144 | 277,462 | 289,781 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,400.0 | 1,400.0 | 1,400.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 189.39 | 198.19 | 206.99 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 189.39 | 198.19 | 206.99 | 198.40 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.5% | -0.1% | 4.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MGL | GAIL | SPB | 1F2 | 9532 | 532514 | |
| Enterprise Value | 116,774 | 1,325,553 | 3,233 | 119 | 1,497,171 | 246,671 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16,227 | 31,993 | 42 | 13 | 166,194 | 31,831 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 573,335 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,538) | (196,318) | (1,869) | (33) | (857,626) | (742) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (260) | (0) | (47,600) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 131,463 | 1,161,228 | 1,146 | 98 | 1,331,474 | 277,760 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 98.8 | 6,575.1 | 232.2 | 317.5 | 397.0 | 1,400.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,330.90 | 176.61 | 4.94 | 0.31 | 3,354.00 | 198.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,330.90 | 176.61 | 7.02 | 0.31 | 3,354.00 | 198.40 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | CAD | SGD | JPY | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |