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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,4x - 16,0x | 15,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14,7x - 16,3x | 15,5x |
| Fair Value | ₹194,18 - ₹212,29 | ₹203,23 |
| Upside | -4,2% - 4,7% | 0,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Mahanagar Gas Limited | MGL | NSEI:MGL |
| GAIL (India) Limited | GAIL | NSEI:GAIL |
| Superior Plus Corp. | SPB | TSX:SPB |
| Union Gas Holdings Limited | 1F2 | SGX:1F2 |
| Osaka Gas Co., Ltd. | 9532 | TSE:9532 |
| Indraprastha Gas Limited | 532514 | BSE:532514 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MGL | GAIL | SPB | 1F2 | 9532 | 532514 | ||
| NSEI:MGL | NSEI:GAIL | TSX:SPB | SGX:1F2 | TSE:9532 | BSE:532514 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.5% | 5.7% | -4.1% | 9.1% | 20.5% | 13.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 26.9% | 27.9% | 22.3% | 31.4% | 15.3% | 17.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -22.4% | 46.1% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -39.1% | -21.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 17.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.2% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 11.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 14.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.77x | 0.99x | 1.32x | 0.97x | 0.77x | 1.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 9.0x | 7.5x | 4.5x | 6.0x | 13.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 11.5x | 16.0x | 8.5x | 11.8x | 16.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 11.5x | 16.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 15.3x | 30.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.4x | 15.2x | 16.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 15,174 | 15,174 | 15,174 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 219,174 | 230,710 | 242,245 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 31,089 | 31,089 | 31,089 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 250,263 | 261,799 | 273,334 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,400.0 | 1,400.0 | 1,400.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 178.76 | 187.00 | 195.24 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 178.76 | 187.00 | 195.24 | 202.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.8% | -7.7% | -3.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MGL | GAIL | SPB | 1F2 | 9532 | 532514 | |
| Enterprise Value | 122,311 | 1,367,831 | 3,143 | 122 | 1,548,258 | 252,691 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16,227 | 31,993 | 42 | 13 | 166,194 | 31,831 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 573,335 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,538) | (196,318) | (1,869) | (33) | (857,626) | (742) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (260) | (0) | (47,600) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 137,000 | 1,203,506 | 1,056 | 102 | 1,382,561 | 283,780 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 98.8 | 6,575.1 | 233.0 | 317.5 | 398.7 | 1,400.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,386.95 | 183.04 | 4.53 | 0.32 | 3,468.00 | 202.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,386.95 | 183.04 | 6.49 | 0.32 | 3,468.00 | 202.70 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | CAD | SGD | JPY | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |