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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5,1x - 5,6x | 5,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4,9x - 5,4x | 5,2x |
| Fair Value | R$36,20 - R$42,62 | R$39,41 |
| Upside | 2,6% - 20,8% | 11,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| World Kinect Corporation | WKC | NYSE:WKC |
| Eni S.p.A. | E | BASE:E |
| KNOT Offshore Partners LP | KNOP | NYSE:KNOP |
| Shell plc | SHEL | BASE:SHEL |
| Alvopetro Energy Ltd. | ALV | TSXV:ALV |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | PETR3 | BOVESPA:PETR3 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WKC | E | KNOP | SHEL | ALV | PETR3 | ||
| NYSE:WKC | BASE:E | NYSE:KNOP | BASE:SHEL | TSXV:ALV | BOVESPA:PETR3 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.0% | -7.0% | -8.3% | 7.3% | NM- | 14.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 17.0% | -21.5% | -3.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | -6.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -17.3% | -34.6% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | -19.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.6% | 9.4% | 31.2% | 8.2% | -33.9% | 38.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.6% | 9.1% | 25.0% | 10.9% | 50.8% | 39.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.6% | 6.6% | 26.4% | 11.8% | 56.6% | 31.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.6% | 6.4% | 26.6% | 11.6% | 54.5% | 30.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.05x | 0.57x | 3.77x | 0.82x | 3.14x | 1.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.6x | 3.5x | 6.6x | 4.5x | 4.4x | 3.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 8.9x | 14.2x | 7.0x | 5.8x | 5.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 8.9x | 14.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.1x | 4.0x | 9.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.1x | 5.4x | 5.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 153,422 | 153,422 | 153,422 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 784,132 | 825,402 | 866,672 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (319,054) | (319,054) | (319,054) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 465,078 | 506,348 | 547,618 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 12,888.7 | 12,888.7 | 12,888.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 36.08 | 39.29 | 42.49 | ||||
| FX Rate: BRL/BRL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 36.08 | 39.29 | 42.49 | 35.27 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 2.3% | 11.4% | 20.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WKC | E | KNOP | SHEL | ALV | PETR3 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,076 | 45,477 | 1,205 | 199,340 | 142 | 773,640 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 456 | 16,186 | 67 | 35,601 | 17 | 44,038 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 15,247 | 3 | 26,520 | 0 | 8,984 | |
| (-) Debt | (879) | (35,804) | (948) | (76,511) | (8) | (370,314) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7) | (3,718) | 0 | (1,856) | 0 | (1,762) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (84) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,647 | 37,388 | 243 | 183,094 | 152 | 454,586 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 56.6 | 5,245.8 | 34.9 | 5,132.7 | 36.4 | 12,888.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 29.08 | 7.13 | 6.95 | 35.67 | 4.17 | 35.27 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 29.08 | 10,500.00 | 6.95 | 44,975.00 | 5.70 | 35.27 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | ARS | USD | ARS | CAD | BRL | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 1.00 | |