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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8,4x - 9,3x | 8,8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9,1x - 10,1x | 9,6x |
Fair Value | R$4,57 - R$6,37 | R$5,47 |
Upside | 13,0% - 57,6% | 35,3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações | JOPA3 | BOVESPA:JOPA3 |
São Martinho S.A. | SMTO3 | BOVESPA:SMTO3 |
BRF S.A. | BRFS3 | BOVESPA:BRFS3 |
M. Dias Branco S.A. Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos | MDIA3 | BOVESPA:MDIA3 |
Excelsior Alimentos S.A. | BAUH4 | BOVESPA:BAUH4 |
Camil Alimentos S.A. | CAML3 | BOVESPA:CAML3 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
JOPA3 | SMTO3 | BRFS3 | MDIA3 | BAUH4 | CAML3 | ||
BOVESPA:JOPA3 | BOVESPA:SMTO3 | BOVESPA:BRFS3 | BOVESPA:MDIA3 | BOVESPA:BAUH4 | BOVESPA:CAML3 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 30.2% | 31.6% | 24.6% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 11.4% | |
3Y CAGR | 9.4% | 14.7% | 33.2% | 26.9% | 101.9% | 0.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -13.5% | 18.9% | 1069.1% | -17.1% | 64.5% | 24.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.8% | 33.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 31.3% | 1.1% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 33.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.0% | 27.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 1.82x | 0.77x | 0.90x | 1.53x | 0.47x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 3.4x | 5.2x | 7.3x | 16.5x | 6.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 6.7x | 7.0x | 9.3x | 20.1x | 8.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.7x | 7.8x | 20.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 9.9x | 17.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 8.8x | 9.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 687 | 687 | 687 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,759 | 6,062 | 6,365 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,276) | (4,276) | (4,276) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,482 | 1,785 | 2,089 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 341.1 | 341.1 | 341.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 4.35 | 5.23 | 6.12 | ||||
FX Rate: BRL/BRL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.35 | 5.23 | 6.12 | 4.04 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 7.6% | 29.6% | 51.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | JOPA3 | SMTO3 | BRFS3 | MDIA3 | BAUH4 | CAML3 | |
Enterprise Value | 853 | 14,215 | 47,018 | 8,954 | 378 | 5,654 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 748 | 3,256 | 12,059 | 2,170 | 35 | 1,831 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4 | 217 | 453 | 32 | 0 | 91 | |
(-) Debt | (1,222) | (11,511) | (24,733) | (2,745) | (1) | (6,198) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (163) | 0 | (1,414) | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 221 | 6,178 | 33,384 | 8,411 | 412 | 1,378 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.6 | 330.4 | 1,614.3 | 335.2 | 5.2 | 341.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 20.90 | 18.70 | 20.68 | 25.09 | 78.98 | 4.04 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.90 | 18.70 | 20.68 | 25.09 | 78.98 | 4.04 | |
Trading Currency | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |