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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 32,7x - 36,1x | 34,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,2x - 10,1x | 9,6x |
| Fair Value | €44,09 - €51,06 | €47,57 |
| Upside | -49,2% - -41,1% | -45,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| McPhy Energy S.A. | ALMCP | ENXTPA:ALMCP |
| Hydrogen-Refueling-Solutions SA | ALHRS | ENXTPA:ALHRS |
| Alstom SA | ALO | ENXTPA:ALO |
| Agripower France Société Anonyme | ALAGP | ENXTPA:ALAGP |
| Forsee Power S.A. | FORSE | ENXTPA:FORSE |
| Exail Technologies | EXAP | BATS-CHIXE:EXAP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALMCP | ALHRS | ALO | ALAGP | FORSE | EXAP | ||
| ENXTPA:ALMCP | ENXTPA:ALHRS | ENXTPA:ALO | ENXTPA:ALAGP | ENXTPA:FORSE | BATS-CHIXE:EXAP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 12.3% | NM- | NM- | 14.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 17.5% | NM- | NM- | 23.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -29.2% | -146.4% | 18.7% | 35.9% | 77.3% | -13.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -193.0% | -19.3% | 6.1% | -61.7% | -18.0% | 12.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -261.7% | -16.1% | 6.0% | -32.6% | -8.9% | 11.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -480.8% | -49.4% | 6.8% | -326.3% | -2.3% | 8.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -480.8% | -96.8% | 6.8% | -197.9% | -2.3% | 8.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 3.51x | 0.50x | 1.31x | 0.54x | 4.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.1x | -3.6x | 7.4x | -0.7x | -23.8x | 56.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.1x | -3.4x | 14.8x | -0.6x | -11.2x | 106.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -23.8x | -0.7x | 7.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.8x | 21.1x | 56.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 32.7x | 34.4x | 36.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 34 | 34 | 34 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,121 | 1,180 | 1,239 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (376) | (376) | (376) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 745 | 804 | 863 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 43.92 | 47.40 | 50.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 43.92 | 47.40 | 50.88 | 86.75 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -49.4% | -45.4% | -41.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALMCP | ALHRS | ALO | ALAGP | FORSE | EXAP | |
| Enterprise Value | (6) | 68 | 9,324 | 2 | 82 | 1,848 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 40 | 10 | 2,274 | 4 | 5 | 50 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10 | 6 | 926 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (41) | (29) | (3,592) | (3) | (64) | (349) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (113) | 0 | 0 | (84) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3 | 54 | 8,819 | 4 | 28 | 1,472 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29.1 | 15.3 | 461.9 | 3.6 | 71.4 | 17.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.09 | 3.54 | 19.09 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 86.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.09 | 3.54 | 19.09 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 86.75 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |