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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 61,6x - 68,1x | 64,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12,3x - 13,6x | 12,9x |
| Fair Value | €45,11 - €52,18 | €48,65 |
| Upside | -48,0% - -39,8% | -43,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| McPhy Energy S.A. | ALMCP | ENXTPA:ALMCP |
| Hydrogen-Refueling-Solutions SA | ALHRS | ENXTPA:ALHRS |
| Alstom SA | ALO | ENXTPA:ALO |
| Agripower France Société Anonyme | ALAGP | ENXTPA:ALAGP |
| Forsee Power S.A. | FORSE | ENXTPA:FORSE |
| Exail Technologies | EXAP | BATS-CHIXE:EXAP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALMCP | ALHRS | ALO | ALAGP | FORSE | EXAP | ||
| ENXTPA:ALMCP | ENXTPA:ALHRS | ENXTPA:ALO | ENXTPA:ALAGP | ENXTPA:FORSE | BATS-CHIXE:EXAP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 2.4% | NM- | NM- | 18.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 82.7% | NM- | NM- | 13.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -30.3% | -114.1% | 35.1% | 34.7% | 61.7% | 149.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -205.2% | -26.5% | 2.8% | -64.0% | -20.7% | 7.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -267.4% | -20.7% | 2.6% | -37.9% | -11.2% | 2.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -495.7% | -54.3% | 3.4% | -334.1% | -4.8% | 4.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -495.7% | -103.6% | 3.4% | -206.5% | -4.8% | 4.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 3.44x | 0.52x | 1.05x | 0.55x | 4.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.1x | -3.6x | 7.6x | -0.5x | -24.1x | 54.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.1x | -3.3x | 15.3x | -0.5x | -11.4x | 103.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -11.4x | -0.5x | 15.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -97.3x | 31.4x | 103.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 61.6x | 64.8x | 68.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 18 | 18 | 18 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,113 | 1,172 | 1,231 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (376) | (376) | (376) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 738 | 796 | 855 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 43.47 | 46.93 | 50.38 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 43.47 | 46.93 | 50.38 | 86.75 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -49.9% | -45.9% | -41.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALMCP | ALHRS | ALO | ALAGP | FORSE | EXAP | |
| Enterprise Value | (6) | 67 | 9,575 | 2 | 83 | 1,848 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 40 | 10 | 2,274 | 4 | 5 | 50 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 10 | 6 | 926 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (41) | (29) | (3,592) | (3) | (64) | (349) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (113) | 0 | 0 | (84) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3 | 54 | 9,070 | 4 | 28 | 1,472 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29.1 | 15.3 | 461.9 | 3.6 | 71.4 | 17.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.09 | 3.52 | 19.64 | 1.01 | 0.40 | 86.75 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.09 | 3.52 | 19.64 | 1.01 | 0.40 | 86.75 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |