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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -68,4x - -75,7x | -72,0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 155,4x - 171,7x | 163,6x |
Fair Value | ARS 8.851 - ARS 9.629 | ARS 9.240 |
Upside | -0,8% - 7,9% | 3,6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | WBD | NasdaqGS:WBD |
Netflix, Inc. | NFLX | NasdaqGS:NFLX |
Lionsgate Studios Corp. | LION | NYSE:LION |
The Walt Disney Company | DIS | NYSE:DIS |
Magnite, Inc. | MGNI | NasdaqGS:MGNI |
Roku, Inc. | ROKU | BASE:ROKU |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
WBD | NFLX | LION | DIS | MGNI | ROKU | ||
NasdaqGS:WBD | NasdaqGS:NFLX | NYSE:LION | NYSE:DIS | NasdaqGS:MGNI | BASE:ROKU | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -28.0% | 32.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | -32.6% | 18.9% | 27.2% | 52.2% | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 769.4% | 42.3% | -25.7% | 22.7% | 482.9% | 49.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.3% | 21.4% | 4.0% | 9.0% | -11.7% | -4.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -1.4% | 20.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | -23.8% | -12.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 26.7% | 5.3% | 13.5% | 7.6% | -4.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.1% | 29.5% | 5.0% | 15.1% | 11.1% | -3.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.52x | 12.57x | 1.47x | 2.56x | 4.82x | 2.59x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 41.5x | 15.1x | 12.4x | 27.0x | 79.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 37.1x | 42.6x | 29.4x | 16.9x | 43.5x | -87.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 16.9x | 37.1x | 43.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -404.1x | -20.0x | 103.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -68.4x | -72.0x | -75.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (131) | (131) | (131) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,944 | 9,415 | 9,886 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,747 | 1,747 | 1,747 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 10,691 | 11,162 | 11,633 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,557.6 | 1,557.6 | 1,557.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 6.86 | 7.17 | 7.47 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/ARS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8,926.61 | 9,319.67 | 9,712.73 | 8,920.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 0.1% | 4.5% | 8.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | WBD | NFLX | LION | DIS | MGNI | ROKU | |
Enterprise Value | 58,320 | 524,345 | 5,820 | 243,266 | 3,303 | 8,936 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,917 | 8,391 | 186 | 5,367 | 426 | 2,253 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1,262 | 0 | 49 | 8,671 | 0 | 61 | |
(-) Debt | (34,632) | (16,934) | (4,113) | (42,263) | (619) | (567) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1,297) | 0 | (145) | (4,611) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 28,570 | 515,801 | 1,798 | 210,430 | 3,110 | 10,683 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,475.8 | 424.9 | 289.5 | 1,797.9 | 142.4 | 1,557.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 11.54 | 1,213.86 | 6.21 | 117.04 | 21.84 | 6.86 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.54 | 1,213.86 | 6.21 | 117.04 | 21.84 | 8,920.00 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |