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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10,5x - 11,6x | 11,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,7x - 14,0x | 13,4x |
| Fair Value | ARS 38.966 - ARS 43.929 | ARS 41.447 |
| Upside | -15,0% - -4,1% | -9,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Deere & Company | DE | NYSE:DE |
| Cummins Inc. | CMI | NYSE:CMI |
| Oshkosh Corporation | OSK | NYSE:OSK |
| Xos, Inc. | XOS | NasdaqCM:XOS |
| Blue Bird Corporation | BLBD | NasdaqGM:BLBD |
| PACCAR Inc | PCAR | BASE:PCAR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DE | CMI | OSK | XOS | BLBD | PCAR | ||
| NYSE:DE | NYSE:CMI | NYSE:OSK | NasdaqCM:XOS | NasdaqGM:BLBD | BASE:PCAR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | NM- | 19.1% | 5.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 4.8% | 19.2% | 28.9% | NM- | 82.3% | 17.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -33.5% | 17.3% | -5.3% | 10.3% | 1.4% | -31.6% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.1% | 13.1% | 8.9% | -366.6% | 5.2% | 14.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 24.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | -138.5% | 5.7% | 18.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 22.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | -76.0% | 11.3% | 15.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | -73.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.36x | 1.77x | 1.01x | 1.15x | 1.23x | 1.95x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.6x | 11.5x | 8.8x | -1.6x | 11.1x | 14.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.5x | 14.5x | 10.8x | -1.5x | 12.2x | 15.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -1.6x | 11.1x | 22.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.4x | 11.2x | 16.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.5x | 11.0x | 11.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 4,305 | 4,305 | 4,305 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 45,192 | 47,571 | 49,949 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,795) | (7,795) | (7,795) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 37,397 | 39,776 | 42,154 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,286.4 | 1,286.4 | 1,286.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 29.07 | 30.92 | 32.77 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/ARS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 39,273.68 | 41,771.58 | 44,269.48 | 45,825.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.3% | -8.8% | -3.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DE | CMI | OSK | XOS | BLBD | PCAR | |
| Enterprise Value | 193,393 | 59,983 | 10,487 | 59 | 1,727 | 51,431 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,881 | 3,074 | 192 | 9 | 173 | 8,280 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2,018 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (66,646) | (8,684) | (1,498) | (42) | (91) | (16,075) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (89) | (1,084) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 133,539 | 55,307 | 9,180 | 26 | 1,844 | 43,635 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 270.8 | 137.8 | 64.0 | 8.7 | 31.7 | 1,286.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 493.08 | 401.40 | 143.44 | 2.99 | 58.17 | 33.92 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 493.08 | 401.40 | 143.44 | 2.99 | 58.17 | 45,825.00 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |