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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,6x - 13,9x | 13,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,9x - 11,0x | 10,4x |
| Fair Value | ARS 52.085 - ARS 62.147 | ARS 57.116 |
| Upside | 24,6% - 48,7% | 36,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Centrica plc | CNA | LSE:CNA |
| Veolia Environnement SA | 0NY8 | LSE:0NY8 |
| Telecom Plus Plc | TEP | LSE:TEP |
| Terna S.p.A. | 0LBM | LSE:0LBM |
| Redeia Corporación, S.A. | 0RI5 | LSE:0RI5 |
| National Grid plc | NGG | BASE:NGG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CNA | 0NY8 | TEP | 0LBM | 0RI5 | NGG | ||
| LSE:CNA | LSE:0NY8 | LSE:TEP | LSE:0LBM | LSE:0RI5 | BASE:NGG | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 8.3% | -5.9% | 7.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 101.9% | 21.7% | 25.2% | 11.9% | -6.9% | 26.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -55.9% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 21.8% | -16.8% | 10.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 28.7% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 70.4% | 70.0% | 30.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 50.8% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 66.8% | 65.5% | 27.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 29.8% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 69.7% | 69.8% | 36.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 29.8% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 69.7% | 69.8% | 34.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.20x | 0.88x | 0.80x | 7.64x | 5.22x | 4.64x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.7x | 7.1x | 11.9x | 11.0x | 7.5x | 13.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 0.7x | 12.5x | 13.1x | 16.8x | 12.5x | 18.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.7x | 7.5x | 11.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 13.2x | 17.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 13.2x | 13.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6,677 | 6,677 | 6,677 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 84,006 | 88,427 | 92,849 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (37,513) | (37,513) | (37,513) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 46,493 | 50,914 | 55,336 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,296.1 | 1,296.1 | 1,296.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 35.87 | 39.28 | 42.69 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/ARS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 53,924.49 | 59,052.58 | 64,180.66 | 41,800.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 29.0% | 41.3% | 53.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CNA | 0NY8 | TEP | 0LBM | 0RI5 | NGG | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,069 | 39,502 | 1,494 | 28,057 | 8,666 | 73,552 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,338 | 11,764 | 71 | 0 | 943 | 7,265 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 912 | 3,006 | 0 | 0 | 804 | 1,696 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,512) | (29,282) | (185) | (11,160) | 0 | (46,449) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (390) | (2,391) | 0 | (20) | (106) | (25) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,417 | 22,599 | 1,380 | 16,877 | 10,307 | 36,039 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,951.5 | 730.4 | 79.3 | 2,005.8 | 540.0 | 1,296.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.50 | 30.94 | 17.40 | 8.41 | 19.09 | 27.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.50 | 30.94 | 17.40 | 8.41 | 19.09 | 41,800.00 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | EUR | GBP | EUR | EUR | ARS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |