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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7,4x - 8,2x | 7,8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,8x - 6,4x | 6,1x |
Fair Value | ARS 87.324 - ARS 98.796 | ARS 93.060 |
Upside | -4,2% - 8,4% | 2,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
ICTS International N.V. | ICTS.F | OTCPK:ICTS.F |
Saker Aviation Services, Inc. | SKAS | OTCPK:SKAS |
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited | HMCT.F | OTCPK:HMCT.F |
Beijing Capital International Airport Company Limited | BJCH.F | OTCPK:BJCH.F |
ENAV S.p.A. | EENN.F | OTCPK:EENN.F |
Corporación América Airports S.A. | CAAP | BASE:CAAP |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ICTS.F | SKAS | HMCT.F | BJCH.F | EENN.F | CAAP | ||
OTCPK:ICTS.F | OTCPK:SKAS | OTCPK:HMCT.F | OTCPK:BJCH.F | OTCPK:EENN.F | BASE:CAAP | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 20.2% | NM- | NM- | 2.2% | 10.1% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 81.5% | NM- | NM- | 27.5% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -153.9% | -51.9% | 86.6% | 68.8% | -3.5% | -6.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.2% | 5.1% | 14.9% | -65.7% | 13.0% | 9.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.5% | 42.1% | -3.4% | -30.9% | 16.5% | 29.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -1.2% | 28.7% | -0.4% | -6.1% | 17.3% | 23.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -1.2% | 21.3% | -0.4% | -5.6% | 15.7% | 22.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | -0.10x | 3.11x | 3.96x | 2.36x | 2.06x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -39.8x | -0.5x | 20.3x | 24.2x | 8.1x | 6.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -28.8x | -0.5x | -707.2x | -70.4x | 15.0x | 9.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -707.2x | -28.8x | 15.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -45.9x | 8.6x | 11.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.4x | 7.8x | 8.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 410 | 410 | 410 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,045 | 3,206 | 3,366 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (655) | (655) | (655) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,390 | 2,551 | 2,711 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 35.1 | 35.1 | 35.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 68.03 | 72.59 | 77.16 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/ARS | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 79,087.70 | 84,390.42 | 89,693.13 | 91,150.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -13.2% | -7.4% | -1.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ICTS.F | SKAS | HMCT.F | BJCH.F | EENN.F | CAAP | |
Enterprise Value | 174 | (1) | 7,362 | 20,600 | 1,804 | 3,410 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 83 | 9 | 541 | 2,316 | 388 | 524 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 247 | 41 | 54 | 112 | |
(-) Debt | (16) | 0 | (3,055) | (12,427) | (588) | (1,149) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (91) | 0 | 8 | 0 | (1) | (142) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 150 | 8 | 5,103 | 10,529 | 1,656 | 2,755 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 37.4 | 1.0 | 537.5 | 4,579.2 | 541.4 | 35.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.00 | 8.00 | 9.49 | 2.30 | 3.06 | 78.41 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.19 | 7.19 | 0.87 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.00 | 8.00 | 1.32 | 0.32 | 3.52 | 91,150.00 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.19 | 7.19 | 0.87 | 0.00 |