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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14,2x - 15,7x | 15,0x |
Fair Value | A$64,50 - A$70,47 | A$67,49 |
Upside | -9,4% - -1,0% | -5,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão | B3SA3 | BOVESPA:B3SA3 |
TMX Group Limited | X | TSX:X |
Bursa Malaysia Berhad | BURSA | KLSE:BURSA |
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited | 388 | SEHK:388 |
Spheria Emerging Companies Limited | SEC | ASX:SEC |
ASX Limited | ASX | ASX:ASX |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
B3SA3 | X | BURSA | 388 | SEC | ASX | ||
BOVESPA:B3SA3 | TSX:X | KLSE:BURSA | SEHK:388 | ASX:SEC | ASX:ASX | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% | NM- | 6.7% | |
3Y CAGR | -0.4% | 12.2% | -4.0% | 0.5% | NM- | 17.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 17.8% | 25.7% | 17.3% | 26.1% | NM | 13.2% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 64.8% | 56.1% | 58.8% | 70.8% | 0.0% | 68.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 60.7% | 54.2% | 55.6% | 69.0% | NA | 54.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 66.3% | 55.0% | 55.9% | 70.1% | NA | 73.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 65.4% | 54.8% | 55.1% | 71.8% | NA | 73.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 7.62x | 11.28x | 7.28x | 11.53x | -0.12x | 7.38x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.6x | 20.6x | 13.2x | 16.0x | NA | 10.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.5x | 25.3x | 14.0x | 16.4x | -0.1x | 10.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.6x | 14.6x | 20.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.0x | 11.5x | 18.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | 10.0x | 10.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 1,230 | 1,230 | 1,230 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,676 | 12,291 | 12,905 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,525 | 1,525 | 1,525 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 13,201 | 13,816 | 14,430 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 193.9 | 193.9 | 193.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 68.10 | 71.27 | 74.44 | ||||
FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 68.10 | 71.27 | 74.44 | 71.18 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -4.3% | 0.1% | 4.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | B3SA3 | X | BURSA | 388 | SEC | ASX | |
Enterprise Value | 73,737 | 17,287 | 5,698 | 268,230 | 5 | 12,274 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 14,479 | 361 | 494 | 247,164 | 144 | 1,804 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 3,223 | 3 | 66 | 7,110 | 0 | 44 | |
(-) Debt | (15,383) | (2,148) | (8) | (1,708) | 0 | (323) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (13) | (211) | (2) | (576) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 76,044 | 15,292 | 6,248 | 520,220 | 150 | 13,799 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5,212.0 | 278.1 | 809.3 | 1,263.9 | 59.8 | 193.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 14.59 | 54.99 | 7.72 | 411.60 | 2.50 | 71.18 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.59 | 54.99 | 7.72 | 411.60 | 2.50 | 71.18 | |
Trading Currency | BRL | CAD | MYR | HKD | AUD | AUD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |