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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5,0x - 5,6x | 5,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4,1x - 4,6x | 4,3x |
| Fair Value | د.أ 0,60 - د.أ 0,62 | د.أ 0,61 |
| Upside | 13,7% - 16,4% | 15,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Real Estate & Investment Portfolio Co. | AQAR | ASE:AQAR |
| Jordan Masaken for Land and Industrial Development Group | MSKN | ASE:MSKN |
| Comprehensive Land Development and Investment Company (P.L.C) | ATTA | ASE:ATTA |
| Ad-Dulayl Industrial Park & Real Estate Company P.L.C | IDMC | ASE:IDMC |
| Amad investment and real estate development company | AMAD | ASE:AMAD |
| Jordanian Real Estate Company for Development | JRCD | ASE:JRCD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AQAR | MSKN | ATTA | IDMC | AMAD | JRCD | ||
| ASE:AQAR | ASE:MSKN | ASE:ATTA | ASE:IDMC | ASE:AMAD | ASE:JRCD | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 28.7% | 2.5% | NM- | 62.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 1.6% | 57.2% | 13.9% | NM- | 12.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.9% | -35.7% | 63056.7% | 39.4% | 33.7% | -18.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -6.0% | 29.2% | 8.2% | 80.7% | -21.3% | 56.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -30.3% | 50.5% | -28.5% | 80.7% | -11.1% | 68.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -36.7% | 40.8% | 8.9% | 81.0% | -18.2% | 58.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -30.6% | 31.9% | 8.0% | 83.2% | -19.5% | 56.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 18.24x | 15.58x | 1.05x | 10.81x | 0.24x | 1.59x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -59.6x | 48.9x | 13.1x | 13.0x | -1.2x | 2.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -36.2x | 61.8x | 15.0x | 15.3x | -1.1x | 3.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -59.6x | 13.0x | 48.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.5x | 7.7x | 13.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.0x | 5.3x | 5.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4 | 4 | 5 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 20 | 20 | 21 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.5 | 34.5 | 34.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.60 | ||||
| FX Rate: JOD/JOD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.53 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AQAR | MSKN | ATTA | IDMC | AMAD | JRCD | |
| Enterprise Value | 1 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 2 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | 0 | (0) | (4) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 8 | 18 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.0 | 7.9 | 10.0 | 22.3 | 6.0 | 34.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.78 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 0.53 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.78 | 1.35 | 1.38 | 0.53 | |
| Trading Currency | JOD | JOD | JOD | JOD | JOD | JOD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |