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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 21,6x - 23,9x | 22,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 3,9x - 4,3x | 4,1x |
| Fair Value | د.إ 21,27 - د.إ 23,03 | د.إ 22,15 |
| Upside | 12,2% - 21,5% | 16,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hily Holding PJSC | HH | ADX:HH |
| International Holding Company PJSC | IHC | ADX:IHC |
| Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC | ALPHADHABI | ADX:ALPHADHABI |
| Modon Holding PSC | MODON | ADX:MODON |
| Multiply Group PJSC | MULTIPLY | ADX:MULTIPLY |
| ESG Emirates Stallions Group PJSC | ESG | ADX:ESG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| HH | IHC | ALPHADHABI | MODON | MULTIPLY | ESG | ||
| ADX:HH | ADX:IHC | ADX:ALPHADHABI | ADX:MODON | ADX:MULTIPLY | ADX:ESG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 137.0% | 115.5% | 93.3% | 247.5% | 3.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -32.3% | 19.1% | 31.5% | 75.4% | 60.1% | 79.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 603.1% | 91.1% | 48.1% | 376.3% | 46.3% | 114.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.3% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 28.3% | 11.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 28.0% | 13.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 26.1% | 14.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 14.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.75x | 8.71x | 1.91x | 6.66x | 6.08x | 2.77x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 43.5x | 10.0x | 38.5x | 17.2x | 15.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.4x | 55.4x | 12.3x | 48.7x | 23.1x | 18.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.4x | 23.1x | 55.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 19.5x | 97.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 21.6x | 22.7x | 23.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 192 | 192 | 192 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,153 | 4,371 | 4,590 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,135 | 1,135 | 1,135 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,287 | 5,506 | 5,725 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 250.0 | 250.0 | 250.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 21.15 | 22.02 | 22.90 | ||||
| FX Rate: AED/AED | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21.15 | 22.02 | 22.90 | 18.96 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 11.5% | 16.2% | 20.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HH | IHC | ALPHADHABI | MODON | MULTIPLY | ESG | |
| Enterprise Value | 78 | 875,087 | 127,151 | 43,382 | (831) | 3,605 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 281 | 125,839 | 41,788 | 9,542 | 22,097 | 460 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 456 | 56,124 | 19,094 | 2,688 | 14,293 | 1,215 | |
| (-) Debt | (519) | (84,496) | (34,296) | (5,876) | (10,252) | (227) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (97,920) | (38,537) | (1,186) | (1,451) | (314) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 292 | 874,634 | 115,200 | 48,551 | 23,856 | 4,740 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 120.0 | 2,186.6 | 10,000.0 | 16,347.1 | 11,200.0 | 250.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.43 | 400.00 | 11.52 | 2.97 | 2.13 | 18.96 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.43 | 400.00 | 11.52 | 2.97 | 2.13 | 18.96 | |
| Trading Currency | AED | AED | AED | AED | AED | AED | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |